2025/02/20 - 8th Calendar Week
Daily 4XSetUps - Target Price Of €20 In CBK Reached Yesterday
“commerzbank has done well, was bullish during the last 12 months!
what is worth doing now? buy bullish? sell bearishly? why? why not?”
Weak US stock markets have further clouded the mood on the German stock market this Thursday, February 20, 2025. In addition, there were also worse than expected quarterly reports, especially after the recent strong price gains of individual companies, such as our long WMT 4XSetUps. After a rally of more than +10% in less than two months, a first small sell-off seems to be taking place in terms of price action. It could possibly be stormy at the beginning of next week, after we have federal elections here in Germany at the weekend - which our previous government had called. And so our German leading index DAX
DAX closed with a discount of -0.53% to 22,314.65 points. The MDax 
MDAX , the index of medium-sized companies, lost -0.68% to 27,397.26 points. Among the European indices, the Eurozone leading index EuroStoxx 50 
EUSTX50 ended the day unchanged in percentage terms at 5,461.03 points. In Switzerland, on the other hand, the SMI 
SMI even rose minimally, while the FTSE 100 
UKX in Great Britain closed with losses. In the USA,However, Wall Street's best-known index, the Dow Jones Industrial
DJIA , lost -1.5% at the close of trading in Europe, among other things due to worse-than-expected figures of 
WMT . They are excellent regardless of expectations - I tell you that as a trained retail salesman - but traders and/or investors sent the price action into the basement for the time being. Anyway, the increasing geopolitical tensions, particularly due to the Ukraine conflict, and tariff threats from the USA continue to be the dominant topics. "US President Donald Trump denounced Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy as a "dictator" on Wednesday and warned he had to move quickly to secure peace or risk losing his country, deepening a feud between the two leaders that has alarmed European officials." So the political environment is currently no reason to buy stocks. Which may have been a reason why the stock markets in the United States were under pressure on this Thursday. Which had a negative impact on the European markets in the afternoon - especially on our German DAX DAX . Because new elections are coming up this weekend. And the topic of Ukraine is omnipresent here in Germany. Especially after JD Vance's speech at the weekend and recent statements from Trump. "Trump called Zelenskyy a "dictator", sparking criticism from European leaders including UK's Starmer and Germany's Scholz, who defended Zelenskyy's democratic legitimacy."“Don’t mistake possibilities for probabilities. Anything is possible. It’s the probabilities that matter. Everything must be weighed in terms of its likelihood and prioritized.”
Ray Dalio
Commerzbank
CBK is still trying to defend itself against a possible takeover by the Italian UniCredit 
UCG . As many analysts and/or other observers report in various media - although neither party has confirmed anything publicly. Nevertheless, it seems that Commerzbank CBK is trying to position itself in such a way that a possible takeover by the Italian UniCredit UCG will be as expensive as possible. And how do you do that at every bank? That's right - with the use of personnel and/or computer technology. What you can read in last year's balance sheet. Because after preliminary figures were reported on January 31, 2025, there were no major surprises with the final results last Thursday. That's why Deutsche Bank Research has raised the price target for Commerzbank CBK from €20 to €22 by 2028 following an updated strategy and left the rating at “Buy”. Despite a significant improvement in profitability over the past four years, the bank continues its efforts to increase return on equity to 15%, wrote analyst Benjamin Goy in his commentary available on Tuesday last week already. Even if this may be (too) ambitious, he likes the new way of thinking of continuing to push the boundaries instead of slowing them down. On February 13, 2025, the Canadian bank RBC also raised the price target for Commerzbank CBK from 19€ to 22€ - and left the rating at "Sector Perform". The bank is pursuing ambitious goals in terms of sales growth and operational leverage, wrote analyst Anke Reingen in a study available on Friday. She expects the effort will have longer-term benefits. However - because the price target of this long CBK 4XSetUp was surprisingly reached yesterday, I would not like to formulate a new long CBK 4XSetUp today (yet). In the past 12 months, Commerzbank CBK shares have already delivered a performance of +85%. Since the beginning of this young year alone, there has been a whopping +28%. And if the share should now break €20 and leave it behind, we should quickly see €25. Nevertheless, I don't want to formulate a new long CBK 4XSetUp here and now. Better to wait and see how the price action around €20 will develop - what the other traders and/or investors will do? And then (not) formulate another 4XSetUp!--------------------------------------------------------
€20.000 : 2025/12/31 - Target Price
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€20.000 : 2025/02/19 - Target Price REACHED
€18.085 : 2025/01/21 - Entry Price
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€14.500 : 2025/12/31 - Stop Price
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Have a good time
- regardless of the price action!
Aaron
“daily 4XSetUps - …” is pure information material!
By trying to give you even more information about some trading capabilities to trade and/or invest in some securities. This post is not a call to action - it only provides information. You decide (not) to decide. Even if I am writing daily 4XSetUps with concrete entry prices, target prices and/or also stop prices! It is like it is - like I said; You decide to respond to the analysis I just formulated to buy, to sell, or to do nothing! More information about my approaches to investing in something specific or just trading it, or even just describing it, can be found in the daily "Another 48h - DXY ...! Analysis Post. Where I try to track the price action in
DXY every day so that we learn something new daily.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.