WTI Crude Oil Trade Plan: DOE Release

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CL1!

In this tradingview blog, we go over our technical setup and trade idea for Crude oil.
It is important to note we also have DOE inventory numbers coming at 10:30 ET.

Once the release has settled in, the trade idea can be framed using either of our two scenarios.

Scenario 1: Liquidity Trap
Rejection above March Monthly Open or Yearly Open and prices mean revert towards March mcVAH and CVPOC confluence. The idea considers the trend from last Wednesday. Late breakout buyers get trapped. Higher time frame participants push prices lower.

An example swing trade idea would be taking a long position once the release has settled and waiting for a pull back around 69.50.
• Entry: 69.50
• Stop: 70.30
• Target: 68.15

• Risk: 80 ticks
• Reward: 135 ticks
• Risk/Reward ratio: 1.69

This is an example swing trade idea that may play out by the end of the week.

Scenario 2: Shift back into 70 - 75 range distribution.
Immediate resistance is at March monthly open and yearly open. Above it the path clears towards Q1 mid-range and 2025 mCVPOC.

An example of a trade idea for this scenario is to wait for a breakout and close of candle on the 30 minutes time frame above yearly open. Wait for a pullback towards 70.28

• Entry: 70.35
• Stop: 69.50
• Target 71.45

• Risk: 85 ticks
• Reward: 110 ticks
• Risk/Reward ratio: 1.29

Please note that these are example trade ideas. Trades are advised to do their own preparation. Stops are not guaranteed to trigger, and losses may be greater than predetermined stops.

Disclaimer

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