Crude oil futures rallied in June, but some traders may see downside risk.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trendline along the peaks of September, April and early July. These lower quarterly highs may be viewed as resistance.
Second is the level around 80.65. CL1! stalled there in early March and bounced at the same area in late March. It was a top again in late May that became support a month later. Prices have tested it this week. Is a breakdown possible?
Third, MACD has turned negative, which anticipated drops in October and late April. (See the arrows on the lower study.)
Fourth, the 21-day exponential moving average is starting to turn negative. Like MACD, this event also preceded downturns.
Finally, there could be catalysts with OPEC+ holding a ministerial meeting on August 1.
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