Huge Cocoa Correction Ahead?
Cocoa prices face a strong risk of correction back to $10,000 as bearish fundamentals stack up:
Supply Surge Ignored
Ivory Coast port arrivals are up 33% from last season, signaling a significant increase in supply from the world’s largest producer.
Demand Destruction at High Prices
All-time high prices are forcing buyers to scale back purchases or delay deals.
Economic slowdowns and weaker spending on luxury products like chocolate further reduce demand.
Liquidity Crunch in Physical Markets
Massive liquidity issues, including payment delays and a lack of new purchase deals, reflect stress in the cocoa trade and could lead to lower prices.
Profit-Taking and Market Correction
Cocoa prices appear overbought, increasing the risk of speculative profit-taking and a market pullback.
Ghana’s Supply-Boosting Reforms
Ghana’s President-elect plans to revamp the cocoa sector and improve production efficiency, which could add to future supply.
Stronger U.S. Dollar
A stronger USD makes cocoa more expensive for international buyers, reducing demand and putting pressure on prices.
Soft Commodities Correction
Coffee and sugar prices are already correcting, suggesting cocoa may be next in line as markets tend to move together during broader pullbacks.
Supply Surge Ignored
Ivory Coast port arrivals are up 33% from last season, signaling a significant increase in supply from the world’s largest producer.
Demand Destruction at High Prices
All-time high prices are forcing buyers to scale back purchases or delay deals.
Economic slowdowns and weaker spending on luxury products like chocolate further reduce demand.
Liquidity Crunch in Physical Markets
Massive liquidity issues, including payment delays and a lack of new purchase deals, reflect stress in the cocoa trade and could lead to lower prices.
Profit-Taking and Market Correction
Cocoa prices appear overbought, increasing the risk of speculative profit-taking and a market pullback.
Ghana’s Supply-Boosting Reforms
Ghana’s President-elect plans to revamp the cocoa sector and improve production efficiency, which could add to future supply.
Stronger U.S. Dollar
A stronger USD makes cocoa more expensive for international buyers, reducing demand and putting pressure on prices.
Soft Commodities Correction
Coffee and sugar prices are already correcting, suggesting cocoa may be next in line as markets tend to move together during broader pullbacks.
Trade active
Stop Loss triggered. We're actively monitoring the market for the next entry opportunity. A higher price could set up an even better position for future sell trades.Trade closed: target reached
The price has finally started going in the right direction , enjoy the ride! Note
Still having the trade open , more downside expected. Note
The trade is running on a very nice profit. We are monitoring it closely and looking to move our Stop Loss to a positive level and let the trade run. Note
Trade is close to TP level , adjusting positive Stop Loss at an even better level. Note
We closed the trade today. I have posted new analyis expecting the price to increase.
Congratulations to everybody who participated!
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Seizing Opportunities, Maximizing Returns. With 7+ years of experience, we provide accurate insights and trading signals.
💹 Free daily signals & analysis
💹 Expert strategies & updates
Join now: t.me/valchevfinance
💹 Free daily signals & analysis
💹 Expert strategies & updates
Join now: t.me/valchevfinance
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.