Coinbase - The Moonboy Guillotine

Updated
Frankly speaking, Coinbase is a stock you actually want to keep a careful eye on, because as the US/International regimes fully integrate digital currency, Coinbase is quite likely to be a key organ of the network.

But for now, this thing is worth $14 billion still and at a time that the crypto market is doing really poorly, Binance and Tether are ticking timebombs waiting to go full Mt. Gox, and banks are about to establish real crypto exchanges.

The current breed of digital currencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, are things that have been corrupted by Chinese Communist Party entities.

All the way from the mining cartels to the communities to the Ethereum foundation, there are links to mainland China every step of the way.

And this is something you should really be worried about when the new International Rules Based Order policy is about "de-risking" from China.

And moreover, China has a lot of problems from the pandemic, the coming possibility that Xi Jinping will coup d'etat the CCP in the middle of the US night one day soon, and the looming persecution of Falun Gong since 1999 by the Jiang Zemin faction.

The timing is a little off to go long, but since you're being told it's time for $100,000, if you believe it, then I suppose you've consented to losing your money.

Right now I have calls on Bitcoin for $33,000 to $35,000:

Bitcoin - Balance Amidst FUD
Bitcoin - Balance Amidst FUD


And Ethereum for a $2,130~ double top:

Ethereum - Prepare For The $2,150 Double Top
Ethereum - Prepare For The $2,150 Double Top


In my opinion, with the chart set up and pattern, the Coinbase market maker is not going to create higher prices.

The target is below the December low.

Numbers like $15 or $18 are what the low will look like ultimately.

And so right now if you're long on this I recommend you sell on a breakout of this April-July trendline around $69.

If you don't sell your shares now I really do believe these prices won't be seen again for at least 2 years.

I do not believe price will break $72 because the market maker is actually short.

For now, the trade gives a scalp opportunity to go from $61 to $69 as well.

The target is the very bottom. And then a new new bottom of the new bottom.

Afterwards, perhaps Coinbase will rise again.
Note
Considering she opened up at $67, and assuming that Bitcoin really does find $33,000 and ETH $2,000, the sell point for Coinbase must be like $75 and not $69.
Note
At this point, with Coinbase having mooned and BTC/ETH looking like they're going to run for highs, the place to short CB would likely be in the 80s.

snapshot

Or it really is a new bull market.
Note
IMO Bitcoin and BCH have topped and Coinbase has printed a reversal candle.

snapshot

No better time to get short than now.
Note
The Ex-Date for 66 cent Dividends on the BITO ETF just happens to be tomorrow morning.

That's a pretty fat div on a ~$20 stock.

Then, everyone is free to sell.
Note
So as for Coinbase, I think today's price action doesn't invalidate the short call:

snapshot

The weekly bars show it trading into the wicks, which is a low volume area.

It's also notable that the previous week did not print a low. That week, COIN mooned just like it did today.

Today, it did it on a 3 hour session before July 4. It's possible that today's candles across many equities marked the high of the week and maybe even the month of July.
Note
Coinbase flirting with the breakout high when crypto is looking particularly weak is quite notable.

snapshot

Perhaps this is the top.
Note
I think if you're bullish on Coinbase and digital currencies right now, you should buy the bull flag above the old highs.

snapshot

What's the worst that could happen, really? Isn't $300 ahead?
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