With the breakdown in ethanol needs, general and feed lot demand, corn has suffered immensely. Recent favorable weather has also pushed the shine off the this juicy grain. From a fundamental point of view demand and exports looking to offer more support into later part of year, TA was looking good until recent sell off. The rally on 29th June shows how quickly the buyers can come back to market though. The drop 11th July however, shows how quickly contracts can fall. Overall, looking at 4 hour, long is my preference, given the higher lows, and higher highs since around the 29th April (from each large move not just the candles). That said I am careful of my entry point. For a riskier trade I would buy at today's price around $3.20, but I am also considering a wait and watch approach for a re-visit of $3 based on upcoming news. Fundamentals may produce more favourable yield results, but demand is set to return, and this may bring the buyers back for a snap rally - which is why I will avoid short positions at this multi year lower price point at this time.
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