CRCL | Long | Strong Institutional | (June 30, 2025)

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CRCL | Long | Strong Institutional & Regulatory Tailwinds | (June 30, 2025)

1️⃣ Insight Summary:
Circle (CRCL) recently pulled back after a massive IPO surge but is showing a strong bounce from key technical levels. With new stablecoin regulations coming and big partnerships, this could be setting up for another move higher.

2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Around $180 (supported by value area low, VWAP, and Fibonacci levels)
Stop Loss: $148 (Golden Fibonacci zone and recent key support)
TP1: $225
TP2: $265
Final Target: $378

3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ CRCL was listed at $31 on June 5 and exploded nearly 700% to highs around $248 before pulling back ~24% on profit-taking and macro rate pressures.
✅ Major fundamental drivers include the GENIUS Act for stablecoin clarity, and big institutional partnerships (Fiserv, PayPal, Mastercard, Shopify, Ripple).
✅ Technical dynamics also show heavy short interest (~45% of volume) and high borrowing costs, which could lead to a strong short squeeze.
❌ Main risks: High valuation concerns (Compass Point targets $205), heavy exposure to interest rate changes, and rising competition in the stablecoin space (USDT, Diem, etc.).

4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll continue monitoring price action near $225 and $265 for partial exits and updates if momentum accelerates or structure changes.

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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.

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