Compelling Entry Opportunity

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Key arguments in support of the idea.
  • The stock has adjusted to an attractive valuation.
  • Cybersecurity continues to be an essential priority for businesses and government entities alike.
  • AI and automation serve as significant competitive advantages for CrowdStrike.


Investment Thesis

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) is a leading U.S. cybersecurity firm that specializes in providing cloud-based solutions and endpoint protection. The company is esteemed for its CrowdStrike Falcon platform, which integrates artificial intelligence, machine learning, and behavioral analytics to thwart cyber threats in real-time. Falcon protects businesses and government entities from cyberattacks, such as viruses, ransomware, and zero-day vulnerabilities. Established in 2011, CrowdStrike is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

The stock price of CrowdStrike Holdings has adjusted to attractive levels. CrowdStrike’s stock experienced a downturn, mirroring the trend of the broad market index, due to weak U.S. macroeconomic data for February, trade policy tightening, potential changes in U.S. macroeconomic and fiscal policy, and statements from Trump about the possibility of a U.S. recession. We think these factors are already priced into the stock, suggesting an upside potential from the current levels, reinforced by the robust fundamentals underpinning CrowdStrike’s business.

Cybersecurity continues to be an essential priority for both businesses and government agencies. Unlike other IT expenses that might be reduced during economic downturns, investment in data and infrastructure protection remains indispensable. The prevalence of cyberattacks is unaffected by economic conditions; in fact, they often surge during crises. Historical evidence highlights notable increases in phishing, account breaches, and ransomware activities during periods of economic instability. Additionally, strict regulatory frameworks such as GDPR, NIST, and SOC 2 impose significant penalties for non-compliance, compelling companies, even those struggling financially, to maintain rigorous cybersecurity measures. Amid the widespread transition to remote work and cloud-based technologies, securing digital infrastructure is of utmost importance. CrowdStrike’s Falcon platform is strategically positioned to address these needs, offering a holistic solution that supersedes traditional endpoint, cloud services and corporate accounts protection systems. Organizations striving to reduce IT budgets are increasingly adopting platform solutions like Falcon XDR, which enhances cost efficiency and defense effectiveness.

AI and automation serve as significant competitive advantages for CrowdStrike. The company distinguishes itself from competitors through its innovative use of artificial intelligence and machine learning. Unlike conventional antivirus tools that rely on signatures, Falcon processes up to 2 trillion events daily, predicting attacks before they occur. Such automation reduces labor costs and reliance on costly IT personnel, especially crucial in the context of rising inflation and increasing wage pressures. AI solutions enable businesses to achieve both cost savings and superior protection. Moreover, the predictive accuracy of CrowdStrike’s AI improves with the breadth of data it processes, creating a network effect that strengthens its competitive edge over rivals such as Palo Alto Networks and SentinelOne.

The target price for the shares is $350, the rating is Sell. We recommend setting a stop loss at $280.

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