From around the beginning of November 2022, Cotton futures have been trading in a range, roughly between the 75- and 89-dollar marks. As long as the price remains in that range, we will stay neutral. Only if we see the commodity breaking through one of the sides of that range, only then we will consider the next short-term directional move.
A break through the upper side of the aforementioned range would confirm a forthcoming higher high, potentially inviting more buyers into the game. Such a breakout may clear the path somewhere towards the 101 zone.
Alternatively, a drop below the lower side of the range could temporarily spook the bulls from the field. Cotton might then drift to the area near the 70 hurdle, or to the 65 territory, which was last time tested in July and September of 2020.
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