As expected, the ECB's key interest rate decision last Thursday didn't provide any significant volatility in the DAX30 CFD. And, with the economic calendar being thin today, it's difficult to see significant impulses on either side.
Currently, the German index has stabilised between 12,800 and 12,900 points, but this is on an Hourly time-frame above 12,600 points with a clear bullish tendency.
In fact, given the latest news around the massive liquidity injections from the FED, conducting nearly 65 billion USD in overnight repurchase agreements and another 35 billion USD in repo operation last Tuesday alone, it's difficult to see Equities come under serious pressure in the near-term, especially with the FED rate decision taking place next Wednesday.
The reason for that: since 1980 research shows a clear bullish tendency "Pre-FOMC", not only in US-equities, but also in the DAX30 CFD. That's especially true with a flattening US-yield curve and volatility being solid. Here, on average, nearly 80% of all profits in the S&P 500 were made within eight days leading up to the interest rate decision.
With that in mind, and the DAX30 CFD trading above 12,800 points, another push up to last week's and current yearly highs around 12,920 has a higher probability than a push lower and test of the region around 12,600 points.
Ready to start trading the live markets? Then open a free account with Admiral Markets - 8,000+ instruments to choose from, some of the market's tightest typical spreads, and the world's #1 multi-asset trading platform. admiralmarkets.com/start-trading/
Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.