Interesting correlation between the cycles leading up to the 2008 financial crash and the cycle the DJI is currently in the process of completing. This time around the Parabolic curve and impulse angle appears higher, suggesting a possible top in the dow. This coincides with the RSI strength (set to a loose parameter for regular markers) being weaker on this second impulsive leg of 2018 - a move regularly suggested to be bearish in the average traders handbook.
I have cloned and flipped fractals and joined up; assuming we are market top. the H&S pattern created look near harmonic and a perfect point for the masses to go short - on the right side of a shoulder. I prefer to mix things up a little, predict the future and attempt to call tops wherever possible finding divergences and weaknesses in candle formations.
This position bias is Quite clearly short with the intention of playing the volatility on the initial leg down. looking at a target of 0.50 Fibonacci - (14375.0) - Failure of this becoming support cause shorts to push harder and the price to decline further to 0.385 - (11850.0) This would put the chart in bearish momentum through the 2008 peak and towards the 2000 peak price.
Leaving geopolitics to one side is necessary to maintain a clear thought processes however one cant forget the correlation between current turmoil and potential for downside chart movement considering the parabolic move and 10 year move to the upside. Downside rally imminent.
Basil