Dow Jones 3-daily Outlook

132
Looks like a confirmed double-top, might turn into a Head/Shoulders even.

Head Shoulders:
A common scenario with these is, it looks like a double top, then has a strong reclaim of the neckline, which is around 41.9k, and then a 2nd loss of it shortly after w/ yet another re-test with failure to reclaim.

Double Top:
Another common scenario is just a re-test and failure to reclaim, and this is a textbook double-top.

50/200 3-daily EMAs and MAs:
After losing the 50 EMA and MA, we keep dropping below the 200 EMA and MA on the 3 daily chart during stronger dips, and then finally recovering back above both.

Recovery or Recession?

Recovery:
If we want to see a recovery, we need to do that again. So, a strong move back above the 200 and 50 EMAs/MAs after losing both, down to around 38.5k and then 37.5k, possibly as low as 36.3ish.

Or, for a more immediate flip to bullish, we need to reclaim ~41.9k during any re-tests, and then head to a new ATH above 45k.

Recession:
If we don't bounce from just below the 200 EMA and MA, we might see an extended move down or even a recession.

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