Long

Germany´s Mid Cap DAX: Ready for new all time highs

Updated

The Earning Season in Germany kicks off in the next days.

Expect higher EPS than estimated and new record highs for MDAX & DAX.

Also expect higher dividens and a more positive 2017´th outlook than the majority of investors iestimate. Germany´s DAX will follow the Midcap-DAX in the next weeks and month and will make new all time highs as well.

Note

01/24/2017
The DAX will follow in a few trading days only to set a new All Time High

DAX: Don´t miss the next 1.000 Points to the up side.

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01/25/2017
Germany´s Midcap DAX made a new record high today. See how!

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01/25/2017
Germany´s Midcap DAX made a new record high today. See how!
invst.ly/351xg

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Jan 25, 2017

U.S. share indexes set record highs as Trump policies spur investors
Stock Markets24 minutes ago (Jan 25, 2017 03:54PM ET)

nvesting.com - U.S. share indexes rose to records on Wednesday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting 20,000 for the first time on Wednesday as strong earnings and President Donald Trump's pro-growth initiatives reignited a post-election rally.
Trump has made several business-friendly decisions since taking office on Friday, including signing executive orders to reduce regulatory burden on domestic manufacturers and clearing the way for the construction of two oil pipelines.
The Dow was last quoted at 20,072.13, up 0.80%, while the S&P 500 rose 0.85% to 2,299.35 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite rose 1.01% to 5,657.79.
Trump has also proposed tax cuts and higher fiscal spending working with a Republican-controlled Congress.
Source: investing.com/news/stock-market-news/u.s.-share-indexes-set-record-highs-as-trump-policies-spur-investors-455686

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01/25/2017
Dow Jones Transportation Index: Impressive upmove.
If you follow the Dow Theory: The DJT is going to confirm any DJIA all time high if ever rising only a few points higher only.
invst.ly/35413

Note

DJT: New All Time High. If you follow the Dow Theory than todays DJIA ATH is confirmed by the Dow Transportation Index.
invst.ly/35fhl

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Comment: Jan 27 2017

Watch todays Lindsey Grahams comment on twitter

Border security yes, tariffs no. Mexico is 3rd largest trading partner. Any tariff we can levy they can levy. Huge barrier to econ growth /1
1,092 replies 7,528 retweets 14,604 likes
Source: twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/status/824733324769951744

Simply put, any policy proposal which drives up costs of Corona, tequila, or margaritas is a big-time bad idea. Mucho Sad. (2)
twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/status/824734113412345856

Now check how many Senators Donald Trump can affort to loose more:
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2016

Lindsey Graham made the point: Not Mexiko is paying "The Wall". It is the U.S. consumer. Guess how many more senators might vote with a "NO".

USDMXN follow this logic for sure. The peso today again strengthen against the US Dollar - no matter what Donald Trump is telling or "repeating".

Note

Expect Donald Trump to become more moderate

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Jan. 28 2017

Quote:

CETA clears hurdle in European Union parliament

A planned EU-Canada free-trade deal moved closer to reality on Tuesday after a key committee advised the European Parliament to give its backing after months of protests and heated debate.

The Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) is seen as a test of Europe’s ability to forge future trade accords and as a counterweight to anticipated protectionism under new U.S. President Donald Trump. “It’s more than just a free-trade treaty with Canada. It’s a statement about how we relate with the rest of the world,” said Sorin Moisa, CETA co-ordinator for the center-left Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats group, whose members have been divided over the pact. “We want to shape rather than withdraw from the world, and all the more so after Trump,” he told Reuters in an interview. Source: theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/eu-canada-trade-deal-clears-hurdle-in-eu-parliament/article33714037/

Note

Do not be scared about Donald Trump. Just laugh!

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Feb 01 2017

After 13 consecutive days of something like a "Trump nightmare" expect stockmarkets to return to daily business focused on earning and global growth. Watch the NASDAQ Comp for another unexpected ATH in the next days lead by APPL, FB & TSLA.

FB today: After hours plus 4 USD or 3%. Expect tomorrow a huge break away gap leading the comp higher. invst.ly/36rts

Note

Februar 02 2017: U.S. Retailers starts to fight back.

Quote:

Stop the Border Adjustment Tax
Don´t make hard working families pay more on essantiel products

Tell Congress No To The Border Adjustment Tax
Make your voice heard on how this misguided proposal will impact you, your family, and jobs in your local community.

Take Action

Quote: keepamericaaffordable.com/default.aspx

Note

Feb 02 2017: Mexicans not afraid of Trump´s border tax

In avocado country, Mexicans not afraid of Trump tariff threats
Economy37 minutes ago (Feb 02, 2017 02:30PM ET)

By Adriana Barrera

URUAPAN, Mexico (Reuters) - Avocado farmers in the rolling hillsides of Mexico's Michoacan state are not worried for now by U.S. President Donald Trump's threats to tear up a trade deal which could make the favorite snack of Super Bowl viewers more expensive.
Americans will chomp through huge amounts of avocados mashed into guacamole during the Super Bowl on Sunday, and 80 percent of those fruits will come from Mexico’s ever-larger expanse of orchards, thanks to a free market created by the North American Free Trade Agreement in 1994.
It is peak season for guacamole, a word that means avocado sauce in Mexico's native Nahuatl language. Some 100,000 tonnes of the green fruit, or 12 percent of annual U.S. demand, will be consumed on Sunday and in the days before and after the New England Patriots game against the Atlanta Falcons, exporters say.
With such market dominance and demand, growers like Adrian Iturbide doubt Trump's eagerness to impose duties on Mexican goods will dent exports. They feel they have little to fear from proposals by the Republican such as a 20 percent blanket tariff on U.S. imports from Mexico, that would affect sales of "green gold" to the northern neighbor.

Quote: investing.com/news/economy-news/in-avocado-country,-mexicans-not-afraid-of-trump-tariff-threats-457561

Note

Feb 09 2017 Quote: Why Trump might play nice with Japan’s Abe

Published: Feb 9, 2017 5:04 p.m. ET

The White House is describing President Donald Trump’s plan to host Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe at his golf resort in Florida as a “gift,” a day ahead of the meeting in Washington between the two leaders. “That is a gift that the president is extending to the prime minister,” White House press secretary Sean Spicer told reporters Thursday about the planned weekend visit to Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate. Abe and Trump are due to have talks at the White House Friday and the two are scheduled to travel together to the Palm Beach resort afterward. Questions have arisen about the ethics of the trip. Experts cited by The Wall Street Journal said the most appropriate option would be for Trump to host Abe at Mar-a-Lago as his guest, if Japanese government ethics rules permit. Source: marketwatch.com/story/mar-a-lago-visit-a-gift-to-abe-from-trump-white-house-says-2017-02-09

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Feb 10 2017: New All Time High for Germany´s Mid Cap DAX invst.ly/38-zf

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Comment: FEB 13 2017: Follow closely todays Trump meeting with Canadas Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
edition.cnn.com/2017/02/12/opinions/justin-trudeau-meets-donald-trump-cohen/

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FEB 13 2017 Trump discovers the limits of his power
edition.cnn.com/2017/02/11/opinions/trump-white-house-power-limits-zelizer-opinion/index.html?iid=ob_lockedrail_topeditorial

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FEB 13 2017: New All Time High for Germany's Mid Cap DAX (MDAx).

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FEB 13 2017: Impressive momentum pushes Germany`s MDAX to a new all time high invst.ly/39gcn

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Read also:

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FEB 14 2017: MDAX sets another All Time High.

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FEB 15 2017: New polls showing a huge loss of voters for Europe far wing parties. Nederlands PVV (Wilders) and Germany's AfD lost one third of voters after Trumps inauguration on January 20th since today. New polls from France to come next days.

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Comment: Comment: FEB 15 2017: Record winning streak not seen in a quarter century.
marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-on-brink-of-best-win-streak-in-a-quarter-century-2017-02-15?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts

Note

Comment: FEB 15 2016| Germany's Allianz announced today a 3 Billion Euro Stockbuyback Program. Expect other DAX companies to follow. Stock repurchase programs are unusual in Germanies DAX 30.

investing.com/news/stock-market-news/allianz-proposes-share-buyback-up-to-3-billion-euros-after-fourth-quarter-profit-jump-460456

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FEB 20 2017: Another All Time High For Germany´s Mid Cap DAX MDAX (50) invst.ly/3a-w9

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FEB 21 2017: Euro zone businesses growth fastest since April 2011: PMIs
Economic Indicators5 minutes ago (Feb 21, 2017 04:20AM ET)
investing.com/news/economic-indicators/euro-zone-businesses-growth-fastest-since-april-2011:-pmis-461114

Note

FEB 21 2017 Border tax hits political reality, and only Trump can save it

John Harwood | @johnjharwood
6 Mins Ago
Quote: So, Sen. David Perdue of Georgia, a former retail executive, has pronounced border adjustment an economic threat. Sen. Tom Cotton of Arkansas, home base of Wal-Mart, has vowed to fight it. John Cornyn of Texas, who worries about the effect on oil prices and serves as the Senate's second-ranking Republican, last week pronounced border adjustment "on life support." Those three Republicans alone — if they hold firm — could be enough to sink the idea in a Senate where Republicans control just 52 seats. Source: cnbc.com/2017/02/21/border-tax-hits-political-reality-and-only-trump-can-save-it.html

Note

FEB 21 2017: Watch how strong the Mexican Peos is today: invst.ly/3bcph invst.ly/3bcpm

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FEB 22 2017: Only one side can be right.

1. Markets:
Quote: Euro plummets to 6 week lows as Le Pen's presidential bid looms: SocGen
Investors appear to be increasingly nervous ahead of the scheduled elections in the Netherlands, France and Germany after failing to foresee the outcomes of the U.K.'s Brexit vote and U.S. President Donald Trump's victory. "So much uncertainty with 9 weeks to go until the first round of the (French) election means we will probably see nervousness persist, and undermine the Euro across the board," Societe Generale analysts concluded. Soure: cnbc.com/2017/02/22/euro-plummets-to-6-week-lows-as-le-pens-presidential-bid-looms-socgen.html

or:

2. Facts:
Germany´s far right wing and antie EU and anti Islam Party AfD dropped today to 8% of likely voters fro 18% last year. This is a huge loss of 60% of all likely voters since August 2016.
spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/afd-faellt-in-forsa-umfrage-auf-acht-prozent-a-1135756.html

Netherlands far right wing and anti EU, anti EURO and anti Islam Party PVV (Wlders) is loosing very fast ground now week by week and lost at least 25 - 40% of all likely voters. The PVV is now expected to win 16% of all votersonly to become probaly second stronges party only. This is the lowest numbers in more than two years. The Nederlands elections is held on March 15 2017.
n-tv.de/politik/Wilders-rauscht-ins-Umfragetief-article19714264.html

Note

Comment: MAR 15 2017: German GDP growth likely accelerated in Q1 2017
morningstar.com/news/dow-jones/TDJNDN_201703153115/german-gdp-growth-likely-accelerated-in-first-quarter-economics-ministry.html

Note

March 23 201, French Election: After first TV-Debate Macron is taking the lead for the first round of election

Macron: 26%
LePen: 25%
Source:en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_presidential_election,_2017

Note

MAR 23 2017: All major sentiment Indicators showing "fear" or "extreme fear" - even Markets just a few points under multi year highs or all time highs (DAX)

Before you read this news about todays market action (link below) keep your attention to the high level of putbuying at the CBOE: Total Intraday Put/Call Ratio 1,13. If ever there might be any higher number before the weekend the remind that usually high numbers like this are followed by a major spike to the upside some trading days later. Expect that a "fail" for Donald J. Trump might be nothing else than "sell the news" (for shortsellers). You need to invert the situation.

DAX Traders need to be aware that the EUWAX Sentiment Indicator today once more was extremely negative - means nothing else that putbuying was extremely high.
Quote: Wall St closes lower after Healthcare vote delay

investing.com/news/stock-market-news/wall-st-closes-lower%2C-after-healthcare-vote-delay-468437

Note

APR 01 2017: For Stockmarket Traders the Brexit is linked with "the rise of populism" in Europe. In most traders logic the Brexit should had caused a victory of Dutch far right party PVV (Gert Wilders) and should cause a victory of Marine LePen. The overall logic behind this story was to short European stockmarkets. This the rise of populism die not happened because voters in Europe turning away from populism, wich finally caused without any doubt the Brexit.

Two votes had been won by populists: The Brexit and the U.S. Election. Now lets have a look, how the latest approval rates are for Donald Trump:

MAR 30 2017: Majority of Americans think Trump's doing a poor job and the country is headed in the wrong direction: Poll
Source: cnbc.com/2017/03/30/poll-trumps-approval-rating-is-falling.html
Trump's approval rating slips to another new low, much lower than resent presidents at this point in their terms
Source: cnbc.com/2017/03/29/trumps-approval-rating-slips-to-another-new-low-much-lower-than-recent-presidents-at-this-point-in-their-terms.html

Note

APR 03 2017: German manufacturing growth reached an reached an almost six-year high in March, Markit's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing showed on Monday. Manufacturing activity in France and Italy also rose, adding to signs of a pickup in momentum in the global economy.
Source: investing.com/news/stock-market-news/stocks-start-second-quarter-on-firm-note,-u.s.-policy-in-focus-as-trump-xi-talks-loom-470565

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APR 03 2017 Donald Trump says he is ‘totally in favour’ of ‘wonderful’ EU
independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/donald-trump-european-union-eu-us-president-totally-in-favour-wonderful-steve-bannon-mike-pence-a7596731.html

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APR 04 2017: "Risk free trades against Europe on the rise of populism" vs. facts and figures

Quote: In recent polls, AfD (Germany´s far right party) has dropped dangerously close to the five percent threshold
Head of AfD, Frauke Petry (41), who has been under pressure within her Party, has now struck back – by indirectly threatening to step down
In recent polls, AfD has dropped dangerously close to the five percent threshold (currently seven percent, according to Allensbach). Without Petry, this might become even more of a tight squeeze. In the end, the party might fail to make it into parliament. Source: bild.de/politik/inland/frauke-petry/that-was-a-serious-challenge-51129132.bild.html

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APR 04 2017: Michael Hasenstab bets against euro in populist hedge

Quote: Michael Hasenstab is betting against the euro, a striking position for an investment manager celebrated in Europe for throwing the weight of Franklin Templeton’s flagship bond fund behind Ireland and Hungary as they emerged from the debt crisis. Speaking to the Financial Times, his comments highlight the concerns of many international investors, amplified following a campaign pledge from Marine Le Pen, presidential candidate of the far right in France’s upcoming presidential election, to withdraw the country from Europe’s single currency.
Quote: ft.com/content/bba626fa-0994-11e7-ac5a-903b21361b43

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APR 05 2017 Euro zone businesses started 2017 on a six-year high: PMI
investing.com/news/economic-indicators/euro-zone-businesses-started-2017-on-a-six-year-high:-pmi-471528

Note

APR 10 2017 - Germany´s MDAX: New All Time High today. The steep uptrend is confirming the DAX Bull Run since December 2016 same time showing that the upmove is to come to an end in the next couple of weeks. invst.ly/3pna0

Trade active

The MDAX target is reached now. I start selling today 1/16 of this position. The MDAX longposition is going to be reduced now and will completely closed at east in May or June.

Note

APR 20 2017: It´s now headline on bloomberg.com
French Election Shocker: Pollsters Baffled by Four-Way Race
Sorce: bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-04-19/french-election-shocker-pollsters-baffled-by-four-way-contest

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German manufacturing growth near six-year high in April: PMI m.investing.com/news/economic-indicators/german-manufacturing-growth-near-six-year-high-in-april:-pmi-479204

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German economy booms as protectionist threat goes pop
investing.com/news/economy-news/german-economy-booms-as-protectionist-threat-goes-pop-478522

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All European Long Trades closed on profit taking. For additional information please click on the DAX chart and read further up dates.

Major Negativ Event: Gemany's Carmakers Dragging Down The DAX

Trade closed: target reached

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Germany´s MDAX Set Another ATH Today

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