DOGE - THE BOTTOM INDICATOR FOR CRYPTO?
Updated
The "DOGE/USD" is since May - 2021 in a downward trend, and it is obvious that we can expect a trend reversal if necessary.
> The meme coin "DOGE", has among other things by "Elon Musk", a large degree of awareness and will be known to most "RETAIL" investors.
> Regardless of the media notoriety and the wildest stories of "new" millionaires, this "crypto coin" brings an incredible opportunity.
= I'll let you know what this opportunity looks like and the price increase it could bring in the following lines.
table of contents
- 1st part = WHAT MAKES DOGE COIN SO VALUABLE?
- 2nd part = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- 3rd part = CONCLUSION
PART ONE
"WHAT MAKES THE "DOGE" COIN SO VALUABLE?"
Due to the promotion of Elon Musk and other media relevant people, most people should know about this coin.
> Everyone associates this cryptocurrency with "opportunity" - for quick money and possible wealth.
And exactly these last two points target the "standard" - retail investor:
"FAST MONEY" + "POSSIBLE WEALTH".
The Standard Retail Investor serves us as a "SENTIMENT-INDICATOR", with which we can better assess the current market situation with a closer look at the past.
For this, I compared the past of the "DOGE" Coin with the "BTC" to come across the following result.
= THE "DOGE" COIN BALANCED WITH THE "BTC" (in the last two "major" movements).
= THE "DOGE" COIN BOTTOM.
And by simultaneously, I mean - ONE AND THE SAME DAY -.
= 09/15/2017 (bottom for BTC+DOGE).
= 03/13/2020 (bottom for BTC+DOGE).
SECOND PART
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
As soon as you look at the "DOGE" Coin in the weekly / monthly chart, you immediately notice the "Falling Wedges".
> THE TERMINATION OF THESE "FALLING WEDGES" SIGNALED THE LOCAL BOTTOM IN "BTC" AND "DOGE" SINCE 2017.
Additionally, we are in an upward channel, which has been - respected since 2014.
> In the beginning / middle of 2021 - we broke out of this "temporarily".
> Since the beginning of 2022, we are on the way to the "trend channel center line" and could reach it shortly.
> The "trend channel center line" represented a "point of interest" in the past, which means that a final bottom is not that unlikely.
> The current "falling wedge" converges with the "middle line", which provides further support.
Looking at the MACD in the daily chart, a divergence formed since September this year.
> This would even support a bullish thesis, before the point of contact of the "middle line" and the "falling wedge", however, such a divergence cannot yet be found on the higher time levels.
THIRD PART
CONCLUSION
"The past repeats itself, however it does not have to."
With the current "macroeconomic" environment, at best, one can make guesses as to how the markets will behave in the coming weeks / months.
> Nevertheless, keep in mind the repeating pattern.
What would again support the thesis of a near "local bottom" are the emerging rumors of large accumulations (hedge funds / sovereigns).
The existing fear in the markets is the best time to set up for the long term, for people with good "risk management" and no false expectations of quick (=1-year) riches (=10-years).
> Let's feel free to discuss this in the comments and share our perspectives, I'd be "burning" to hear your take on this.
If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive a review of it.
Thank you and happy trading!
> The meme coin "DOGE", has among other things by "Elon Musk", a large degree of awareness and will be known to most "RETAIL" investors.
> Regardless of the media notoriety and the wildest stories of "new" millionaires, this "crypto coin" brings an incredible opportunity.
= I'll let you know what this opportunity looks like and the price increase it could bring in the following lines.
table of contents
- 1st part = WHAT MAKES DOGE COIN SO VALUABLE?
- 2nd part = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- 3rd part = CONCLUSION
PART ONE
"WHAT MAKES THE "DOGE" COIN SO VALUABLE?"
Due to the promotion of Elon Musk and other media relevant people, most people should know about this coin.
> Everyone associates this cryptocurrency with "opportunity" - for quick money and possible wealth.
And exactly these last two points target the "standard" - retail investor:
"FAST MONEY" + "POSSIBLE WEALTH".
The Standard Retail Investor serves us as a "SENTIMENT-INDICATOR", with which we can better assess the current market situation with a closer look at the past.
For this, I compared the past of the "DOGE" Coin with the "BTC" to come across the following result.
= THE "DOGE" COIN BALANCED WITH THE "BTC" (in the last two "major" movements).
= THE "DOGE" COIN BOTTOM.
And by simultaneously, I mean - ONE AND THE SAME DAY -.
= 09/15/2017 (bottom for BTC+DOGE).
= 03/13/2020 (bottom for BTC+DOGE).
SECOND PART
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
As soon as you look at the "DOGE" Coin in the weekly / monthly chart, you immediately notice the "Falling Wedges".
> THE TERMINATION OF THESE "FALLING WEDGES" SIGNALED THE LOCAL BOTTOM IN "BTC" AND "DOGE" SINCE 2017.
Additionally, we are in an upward channel, which has been - respected since 2014.
> In the beginning / middle of 2021 - we broke out of this "temporarily".
> Since the beginning of 2022, we are on the way to the "trend channel center line" and could reach it shortly.
> The "trend channel center line" represented a "point of interest" in the past, which means that a final bottom is not that unlikely.
> The current "falling wedge" converges with the "middle line", which provides further support.
Looking at the MACD in the daily chart, a divergence formed since September this year.
> This would even support a bullish thesis, before the point of contact of the "middle line" and the "falling wedge", however, such a divergence cannot yet be found on the higher time levels.
THIRD PART
CONCLUSION
"The past repeats itself, however it does not have to."
With the current "macroeconomic" environment, at best, one can make guesses as to how the markets will behave in the coming weeks / months.
> Nevertheless, keep in mind the repeating pattern.
What would again support the thesis of a near "local bottom" are the emerging rumors of large accumulations (hedge funds / sovereigns).
The existing fear in the markets is the best time to set up for the long term, for people with good "risk management" and no false expectations of quick (=1-year) riches (=10-years).
> Let's feel free to discuss this in the comments and share our perspectives, I'd be "burning" to hear your take on this.
If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive a review of it.
Thank you and happy trading!
Trade active
DOGE has broken out of the falling triangle and has confirmed it.How far this should now already serve as an entry indicator, everyone must evaluate for themselves.
Note
In the following, we can see a fractal while comparing the charts of XRP/USD and DOGE/USD.> The vertical lines showing the individual breakouts of each of them.
> Price Action wise could come a event for DOGE, to follow up XRP.
> Prepare yourself for an possible break out!
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