Is DOT perhaps in Elliott Wave 3 of an impulsive move?
I'm not a financial advisor, not giving financial advice. This is my first published idea on TV, and I'm doing it primarily to learn rather than teach/explain. I'm still getting comfortable with counting Elliott Waves, but so far, I think I have a good sense for it. With that said, I hope you'll read this description and share your thoughts on what I've proposed...
I went to chart DOT against Elliott Wave theory on the weekly, originally thinking it was in wave 4 of an impulsive move (like I've counted BTC and many other coins to be in). So I went to the daily chart to count the "minute" daily waves within each weekly "minor" wave, but I couldn't find a verifiable 5-wave minute impulsive structure to fit inside of the minor impulsive wave 1. Which means I need to recount (can't force it).
So I got to thinking...maybe DOT isn't currently in wave 4, it's in wave 3 ?? (!!!!!)
Here's my wave count on the weekly chart:
- You can see wave 2 retraces to just past the .786 Fib level from the beginning of wave 1
- The lengths of waves 3 & 4 were determined using Fibonnaci levels as well, with the length of wave 3 = 1.618 x length of wave 1, and wave 4 = .382 retracement level from beginning of wave 3
*above measurements all fall within reason under Elliott Wave theory
It's a little messy, but you can also see the relationship the price action has with the 20 MA (colored green or red based on whether price is above or below it). Price stayed above 20 MA for all of wave 1. Wave 2 was triggered as price moved below the 20 MA. And now wave 3 has traded above the 20 MA until today, where it looks to be barely holding the line. It will be interesting to see if this weekly candle closes above or below the 20 MA. A close below followed by continued downward movement could negate my wave count.
Also take note of the upward trend on the RSI 14 that started back in May.
Would love to hear thoughts from other Elliott Wave charters. Are my counts reasonable or do you see it differently?
I went to chart DOT against Elliott Wave theory on the weekly, originally thinking it was in wave 4 of an impulsive move (like I've counted BTC and many other coins to be in). So I went to the daily chart to count the "minute" daily waves within each weekly "minor" wave, but I couldn't find a verifiable 5-wave minute impulsive structure to fit inside of the minor impulsive wave 1. Which means I need to recount (can't force it).
So I got to thinking...maybe DOT isn't currently in wave 4, it's in wave 3 ?? (!!!!!)
Here's my wave count on the weekly chart:
- You can see wave 2 retraces to just past the .786 Fib level from the beginning of wave 1
- The lengths of waves 3 & 4 were determined using Fibonnaci levels as well, with the length of wave 3 = 1.618 x length of wave 1, and wave 4 = .382 retracement level from beginning of wave 3
*above measurements all fall within reason under Elliott Wave theory
It's a little messy, but you can also see the relationship the price action has with the 20 MA (colored green or red based on whether price is above or below it). Price stayed above 20 MA for all of wave 1. Wave 2 was triggered as price moved below the 20 MA. And now wave 3 has traded above the 20 MA until today, where it looks to be barely holding the line. It will be interesting to see if this weekly candle closes above or below the 20 MA. A close below followed by continued downward movement could negate my wave count.
Also take note of the upward trend on the RSI 14 that started back in May.
Would love to hear thoughts from other Elliott Wave charters. Are my counts reasonable or do you see it differently?
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