After the latest monetary policy meeting, financial markets reacted to statements from US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the Bank of England (BoE). These reactions led to large changes in bond yields and the value of the dollar.
Even though the Fed maintained its hawkish stance after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, markets tended to interpret Powell's comments cautiously. Despite recognition of the US's strong economic performance, concerns about tightening financial conditions and questions about the reliability of scatterplots have led to suggestions that US interest rates may have peaked. There is. This sentiment has led to lower bond yields and a drop in the value of the dollar. In contrast, three out of nine Monetary Policy Committee members at the BoE meeting supported a 25 basis point rate hike. However, rising UK unemployment and a forecast of zero growth in 2024 pose major challenges, with GBP/USD moving above previous support/resistance levels as the dollar weakens and US yields fall. Rose.
Despite these developments, the pound's upward momentum remains limited. Interest rate forecasts suggest the Bank of England will not consider cutting rates until the third quarter of next year. This is slower than the Fed's market expectations (now revised to Q2 2024).