This is a monthly chart of the DXY charting its supercycle bear market since the 164.72 top in Feb 1985. The supercycle and lower Elliot waves for the DXY are as follows: (0) Feb 1985 164.72 (a) Sep 1992 78.19 (b) Jul 2001 121.02 a Mar 2008 70.70 Primary 1 Mar 2009 89.62 Primary 2 May 2011 72.70 BTC created in "Satoshi Whitepaper"; BTC Genesis block created Jan 2010; BTC first bull market top Jun 2011 at $31.90 Primary 3 Jan 2017 103.82 BTC second bull market top Nov 2013 at $1177; beginning of BTC 3rd bull market Jan 2015 to Jan 2017 (A) Feb 2018 88.25 BTC third parabolic bull market top to near $20000 (B) Mar 2020 102.99 BTC third bear market to $3129 & COVID low to 2nd higher low at $3858 Primary 4(C) Jan 2021 89.21 BTC fourth bull market to 64.9K in Apr 2021 and 69K in Nov 2021 b Primary 5 (5) minor 5 110.79? BTC fourth bear market to $17567 in June 2022 or maybe lower later this year (c) c 70-72 BTC 5th and 6th bull markets to six figure then seven figure BTC
Notes: 1. Generally when the DXY goes down Bitcoin has gone up in a bull market. When the DXY goes up BTC has gone down in a bear market. 2. The DXY is near to topping if not already topped at 110.79 to finish Primary Cycle 5 in Cycle wave b. This is corresponding to near the end of Bitcoin's 4th bear market bottom. 3. I believe in the next 7 years Bitcoin will go into its 5th bull market taking it to more than six figures and a 6th bull market that will take it to over $1 million. This will correspond with a supercycle degree (c) in the DXY (dollar index) that will take its value to the 70-72 range again. JMHO
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.