U.S. Dollar Index
Short

US Dollar Index potential reversal seen from 97.80

95
US Dollar Index might be looking to push higher towards 97.80 handle before reversing lower again. The short term wave counts since 100.56 are as follows. Lower degree waves i, ii and iii seem to be in place around 99.00, 100.00 and 95.70 respectively. Since then, EURUSD might been carving wave iv, which could reach fibonacci 0.382 of wave iii towards 97.80 levels. Having said that, wave iv can terminate ahead of 97.80 as well, and reverse towards fresh lows. Either way, high probability remains for US Dollar to turn towards 94.65, going forward. The entire structure continues to remain bearish until prices stay below 100.56 and broadly below 103.00 handle. Also note that US Dollar should ideally stay below 99.00 mark if Wave 3 is unfolding as an impulse.

Strategy:

Short against 103.00, targeting below 94.65

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