XOM (inverted scale) seems to have a rough correlation with the U.S. Dollar Index
Full disclosure: I am building a long call position in XOM.
Dollar looks toppy here, but I believe it will trade sideways more or less until Powell's next FOMC in mid June. If he announces a "skip" then the DXY should start heading back down.
As that recessionary pressure is (may be) lifted, oil could see a nice bounce from these levels.