Back in May of 2002 price created an imbalance in price for Dollar Index (Monthly Chart). Price had only participated in sell-side delivery, leaving behind buy-side inefficiency. Since that time price has returned to that Monthly SIBI (Sell-side Imbalance, Buy-side Inefficiency. Fully closing the imbalance, making price completely balanced. From that strong Point of Interest, price has reacted aggressively to the downside. It is of my opinion that the Dollar Index is long-term bearish.
Short-term i'm under the opinion that the Dollar Index is Bullish, and heres why. Last month price dipped into another monthly imbalance in price...to the upside. I believe this is the first retracement leg for the overall Long-term bearish move.
I am bullish DXY until price reaches equilibrium of the most recent monthly range swing high and swing low. Primarily I would like to see price retrace to the .62 FIB for what I believe to be an Optimal Trade Entry. Perfect for Position and Swing traders.
For Day Traders/Intraday Traders, I will be anticipating price moving lower to attack sell-side liquidity, then take price all the way up to the level prior mentioned. Ultimately I will buying into the sell.
What this means for me is that I will be firstly selling Foreign Currencies paired with the Dollar (i.e. EU, GU, AU etc...) to later buy them once DXY reaches the specified Point of Interest. (.50 FIB/.62FIB or a close of the Monthly -FVG)
I hope this idea helps you with your trading. Bless.
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