DXY short to mid-term analysis (Update)
This post is an update to my original post few weeks ago where I presented the case for DXY bottoming out. Following is the link to that, please go through it to understand the context.
On Thursday DXY closed above 34(Red)EMA, on the daily, as mentioned in previous post, it a sign of strength and possible breakout, and we did breakout the following day and closed much higher.
I expect this breakout to hold, and the rally should continue for a while.
We can come down and flirt with 13(Green) and 21(Blue) EMA's again, this happens until 13 and 21 EMA's start moving up and crosses above 34 EMA, when that happens and sustains for few days, that's the confirmation of bull run and that's the most likely scenario.
Fundamentally also, we have reasons for Dollar gaining strength in short to midterm, mostly because of Hawkish Fed and no intention of stopping rate hikes in the coming months, with each upcoming rate hike DXY should keep pushing higher. We also have indications of a stronger than originally expected US economy and decreasing unemployment as contributing factors adding to DXY's strength.
Now talking about targets, The Boxes in my chart are very strong S/R zones going back months and years. So, the next zone of mid-size resistance for DXY is 103 price level, where I expect some retrace, then the big one is 104 which may cause a pause in the rally and some consolidation for big retrace.
If you like my content then please boost and share this post. I have over 6 years of trading and investing experience and have learned a lot in this time. I like to share what I have learned. If you would like to learn from my experience then follow me on trading view to get notified on my trade, market projections and several upcoming technical analysis and in-depth tutorials on technical Indicators. You can also leave a comment and let me know if you want me to look at any specific asset or want to learn about any specific topic in the world of Technical Analysis. I Will do my best to create a post for it.
Keep learning and Happy trading All.
On Thursday DXY closed above 34(Red)EMA, on the daily, as mentioned in previous post, it a sign of strength and possible breakout, and we did breakout the following day and closed much higher.
I expect this breakout to hold, and the rally should continue for a while.
We can come down and flirt with 13(Green) and 21(Blue) EMA's again, this happens until 13 and 21 EMA's start moving up and crosses above 34 EMA, when that happens and sustains for few days, that's the confirmation of bull run and that's the most likely scenario.
Fundamentally also, we have reasons for Dollar gaining strength in short to midterm, mostly because of Hawkish Fed and no intention of stopping rate hikes in the coming months, with each upcoming rate hike DXY should keep pushing higher. We also have indications of a stronger than originally expected US economy and decreasing unemployment as contributing factors adding to DXY's strength.
Now talking about targets, The Boxes in my chart are very strong S/R zones going back months and years. So, the next zone of mid-size resistance for DXY is 103 price level, where I expect some retrace, then the big one is 104 which may cause a pause in the rally and some consolidation for big retrace.
If you like my content then please boost and share this post. I have over 6 years of trading and investing experience and have learned a lot in this time. I like to share what I have learned. If you would like to learn from my experience then follow me on trading view to get notified on my trade, market projections and several upcoming technical analysis and in-depth tutorials on technical Indicators. You can also leave a comment and let me know if you want me to look at any specific asset or want to learn about any specific topic in the world of Technical Analysis. I Will do my best to create a post for it.
Keep learning and Happy trading All.
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