Scenario 1: Higher CPI
Bullish Factors:
High Treasury Yields: Higher CPI indicates increased inflation, prompting the Federal Reserve to consider raising interest rates, leading to higher treasury yields.
Low Unemployment: An overheating economy typically shows low unemployment rates.
Overheating Economy: Inflationary pressures suggest strong economic activity, which can boost the DXY.
Technical Targets:
If the CPI data surpasses expectations, the DXY could move towards the resistance levels indicated in the chart around 108.073 to 108.403.
Scenario 2: Lower CPI
Bearish Factors:
Decreasing Treasury Yields: Lower CPI suggests deflationary pressures, potentially leading the Fed to lower or maintain interest rates, resulting in lower treasury yields.
Increasing Unemployment: A cooling or contracting economy often comes with rising unemployment rates.
Technical Targets:
If the CPI data comes in lower than expected, the DXY might drop towards the support levels around 102.355 to 102.643.
Key Levels to Watch
Higher CPI: Targets around 108.073 to 108.403
Lower CPI: Targets around 102.355 to 102.643
Core CPI m/m: Expected 0.2%
CPI m/m: Expected 0.1%
CPI y/y: Expected 3.3%
Based on these expectations, market reactions will depend on whether the actual data deviates from these figures.
Bullish Factors:
High Treasury Yields: Higher CPI indicates increased inflation, prompting the Federal Reserve to consider raising interest rates, leading to higher treasury yields.
Low Unemployment: An overheating economy typically shows low unemployment rates.
Overheating Economy: Inflationary pressures suggest strong economic activity, which can boost the DXY.
Technical Targets:
If the CPI data surpasses expectations, the DXY could move towards the resistance levels indicated in the chart around 108.073 to 108.403.
Scenario 2: Lower CPI
Bearish Factors:
Decreasing Treasury Yields: Lower CPI suggests deflationary pressures, potentially leading the Fed to lower or maintain interest rates, resulting in lower treasury yields.
Increasing Unemployment: A cooling or contracting economy often comes with rising unemployment rates.
Technical Targets:
If the CPI data comes in lower than expected, the DXY might drop towards the support levels around 102.355 to 102.643.
Key Levels to Watch
Higher CPI: Targets around 108.073 to 108.403
Lower CPI: Targets around 102.355 to 102.643
Core CPI m/m: Expected 0.2%
CPI m/m: Expected 0.1%
CPI y/y: Expected 3.3%
Based on these expectations, market reactions will depend on whether the actual data deviates from these figures.
Note
🟥 The US dollar is on alert, waiting for the CPI.. 🇺🇸🔥 7 minutes leftTrade active
🔵 BUY NOW GOLD🔷ENTRY : 2396.86
🔷SL : 2453.30
🔷TP : 2414.50
Note
70+PIP MOVE SECURING 80% and LET REST RUN " BE on " RISK FREENote
ENJOY YOUR PIPS 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥✅ ✅Trade closed manually
Closing Trade 80PIP MOVE GOLD THANKS EVERYONE ENJOY 🔥🔥✅ ✅Note
🔵 Urgent 🔥🔥:🌟 For the first time in 36 months, inflation in America fell to 3%.
👈 The Fed will now seriously consider reducing interest rates soon.. 🇺🇸🏛
⬅️ Strongly negative for the US dollar and strongly positive for gold.. ✅
Note
🚨 Urgent:• Probabilities of cutting US interest rates at the next meeting rise to 83% after positive inflation data.
🌟 Before today's inflation report, markets saw a 67% chance of a rate cut by the next meeting.
Trade active
🟩 PENDING ORDER 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔹Buy Limit Gold ( 2387.34 / 2393.63 ) ❗️
🔻SL: 2374.487
🔹TP1: 2395.431
🔹TP2: 2402.452
🔹TP3: 2416.375
🔹TP4: 2433.154
📝 USE PROPRE RISK LOT SIZE PLEASE ❗️🫶🏻
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175+PIPS RUNNING BOOOM 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥SECURING 80% & BE ON " RISK FREE 3 ✅ ✅
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.