🔻 EL (Estée Lauder) Swing Trade Setup — June 15, 2025
💡 Ticker: EL
📉 Setup Type: Bearish Swing — Weekly PUT
📅 Expiry: June 20, 2025
⏱ Entry Timing: At Market Open
💬 Confidence: 70%
🧠 Model Insights & Technical Context
Across the board, our four AI models (Grok, Llama, DeepSeek, Gemini) provide the following signals:
✅ Short-Term Weakness:
Price is below all key EMAs (5-min and daily charts).
RSI is low (~30), near oversold but not reversing yet.
MACD is bearish and gaining downward momentum.
✅ Options Sentiment:
Very heavy put open interest at the $65 strike (4,935 contracts).
Max pain at $70 suggests potential price drag upward, but not immediate.
⚠️ Risk Flags:
Oversold conditions might cause a short-term bounce.
Gemini model recommends a $70 call if price holds support at open.
News risk remains (e.g., the death of Leonard Lauder) and volatility is rising (VIX ↑).
✅ Recommended Trade
💼 Strategy: Naked PUT (short bias)
🎯 Strike: $65.00
🕰 Entry Price (Limit): ~$0.65
🎯 Profit Target: ~$0.97 (≈+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: ~$0.33 (≈–50%)
📆 Expiration: June 20, 2025
📈 Confidence Level: 70%
This setup reflects the dominant bearish view with strong technical momentum and favorable OI at the $65 strike. The trade benefits from liquidity and an attractive risk/reward skew.
🔍 Key Considerations
⚠️ If EL bounces sharply at open and holds above ~$67.30, the Gemini model’s call trade may activate. Monitor early action closely.
📊 News risk and market volatility may distort option pricing. Manage size and slippage carefully.
📉 If price reverses and breaks above $68.50, bearish thesis is invalidated.
💬 What’s your move on EL this week? Bearish into expiration or expecting a mean-reversion bounce?
Drop your thoughts 👇 or follow along in the QS trading room.
💡 Ticker: EL
📉 Setup Type: Bearish Swing — Weekly PUT
📅 Expiry: June 20, 2025
⏱ Entry Timing: At Market Open
💬 Confidence: 70%
🧠 Model Insights & Technical Context
Across the board, our four AI models (Grok, Llama, DeepSeek, Gemini) provide the following signals:
✅ Short-Term Weakness:
Price is below all key EMAs (5-min and daily charts).
RSI is low (~30), near oversold but not reversing yet.
MACD is bearish and gaining downward momentum.
✅ Options Sentiment:
Very heavy put open interest at the $65 strike (4,935 contracts).
Max pain at $70 suggests potential price drag upward, but not immediate.
⚠️ Risk Flags:
Oversold conditions might cause a short-term bounce.
Gemini model recommends a $70 call if price holds support at open.
News risk remains (e.g., the death of Leonard Lauder) and volatility is rising (VIX ↑).
✅ Recommended Trade
💼 Strategy: Naked PUT (short bias)
🎯 Strike: $65.00
🕰 Entry Price (Limit): ~$0.65
🎯 Profit Target: ~$0.97 (≈+50%)
🛑 Stop Loss: ~$0.33 (≈–50%)
📆 Expiration: June 20, 2025
📈 Confidence Level: 70%
This setup reflects the dominant bearish view with strong technical momentum and favorable OI at the $65 strike. The trade benefits from liquidity and an attractive risk/reward skew.
🔍 Key Considerations
⚠️ If EL bounces sharply at open and holds above ~$67.30, the Gemini model’s call trade may activate. Monitor early action closely.
📊 News risk and market volatility may distort option pricing. Manage size and slippage carefully.
📉 If price reverses and breaks above $68.50, bearish thesis is invalidated.
💬 What’s your move on EL this week? Bearish into expiration or expecting a mean-reversion bounce?
Drop your thoughts 👇 or follow along in the QS trading room.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.