S&P 500 E-mini Futures
Updated

ID: 2025 - 006

48
2.28.2025

Trade #6 of 2025 executed. So simple, yet far from easy...

Trade entry at 168 DTE (days to expiration).

Trade construct is a PDS (put debit spread) at Delta 15 combined with a PCS (put credit spread) at Delta 15. Overlapping short strikes give it the "unbalanced" butterfly nomenclature.

Sizing and strike selection is designed to keep the risk/reward "AT EXPIRATION" to a 1:1 risk profile. This lets charm work it's magic (second order greek), while exploiting the fact that this is a non-directional bias. The process is a disciplined and systematic approach letting time decay evaporate the extrinsic time value from the short options until target profit is achieved.

IF target profit is not captured after 60 DIT (days in trade), then target is reduced by 50% for the next 30 days.

Happy Trading!
-kevin
Trade active
3.12.2025

DIT: 12
IVTS > 1.045
Delta is too negative and spreads are too wide to close currently. Repositioned one of the long legs.
Trade closed: target reached
3.20.2025

Trade is not closed, but more upside risk is removed.

DIT: 20
Delta reduced in half, still 148 DTE.

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