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USA Midterms Elections - What Should We Expect?
S&P 500 E-mini Futures
Long
Editors' picks
USA Midterms Elections - What Should We Expect?
By Daveatt
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Nov 8, 2022
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Nov 8, 2022
Hello traders,
Disclaimer
: Past performance is not indicative of future returns.
I) Historical returns for the
SPX
following mid term elections
On average the
SPX
has had a 15% return on a 12m basis.
This bear market is rapidly approaching the average lifespan for such a market.
Remember, the average bear market lasts 11+ months and the median is 7+ months.
II) Average Bear Market Duration
This bear market is nearing the 11-month mark, and so it is nearing the average lifespan for a bear market.
The US Treasury pumped $165 billion into the economy since the start of Oct, just as we head into midterms.
III) Midterms elections
Fully canceling out the Fed’s $90 billion per month “QT”.
By a factor of nearly 2x.
Right on queue, as soon as elections are done, they plan to reverse course.
Removing $175 billion from the economy from mid Nov through year end.
Yes that's "manipulation" happening at every midterms election.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Fundamental Analysis
Daveatt
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📧 Coding/Consulting Inquiries: dave@best-trading-indicator
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