New Strategy Testing Consolidation Hypothesis
If you see previous trades in this account, you'll notice this strategy has never been used before. This strategy consists of new indicators I created through my own research and back tested it using Yahoo Finance Data. Today I finally coded the indicators into tradingview, however I will not be sharing the code.
Basically, the indicator is reading the trend as it currently is. Determining it's a bullish trend if the blue line is above 0 and the opposite is true. Once the blue line reaches the limits, then it's considered a local minimum or maximum. These however are not always activated, so it's up to the user to determine if the movement is way too close to the limit and therefore should close the position.
However, it can also be possible that a strong trend causes many consecutive maximums to appear. It's up to the user to determine if the maximums are just part of a strong trend or actually a maximum. This exception happens more on the upside than the downside, making minimum signals more reliable.
Looking at how the SPX has behaved and seeing it come out of a slump and with the elections coming up it would seem reasonable to see investors skeptical about the future. Whoever wins the election will have a heavy impact on the price action, however, I doubt investors will make up their mind until then. Therefore, it's reasonable to assume the market may stall before continuing its growth. Also allowing the technicals to reset for a healthy bullish setup for the long term.
Warning: This is the first live test of this strategy!!
Estimate time for price to increase :
1months-6 months
Expect price to stall within the drawn range. For the following weeks
I don't expect any mayor price movements until the elections, unless a sudden international event happens.
Basically, the indicator is reading the trend as it currently is. Determining it's a bullish trend if the blue line is above 0 and the opposite is true. Once the blue line reaches the limits, then it's considered a local minimum or maximum. These however are not always activated, so it's up to the user to determine if the movement is way too close to the limit and therefore should close the position.
However, it can also be possible that a strong trend causes many consecutive maximums to appear. It's up to the user to determine if the maximums are just part of a strong trend or actually a maximum. This exception happens more on the upside than the downside, making minimum signals more reliable.
Looking at how the SPX has behaved and seeing it come out of a slump and with the elections coming up it would seem reasonable to see investors skeptical about the future. Whoever wins the election will have a heavy impact on the price action, however, I doubt investors will make up their mind until then. Therefore, it's reasonable to assume the market may stall before continuing its growth. Also allowing the technicals to reset for a healthy bullish setup for the long term.
Warning: This is the first live test of this strategy!!
Estimate time for price to increase :
1months-6 months
Expect price to stall within the drawn range. For the following weeks
I don't expect any mayor price movements until the elections, unless a sudden international event happens.
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