Here are my levels after a few weeks off. Bullish trend was broken with the drop below the upward trendline. Now trading below key emas. Green box represents important support as price pulls back to key fibs and the 200 sma. Watch for outsized move in either direction due to option volatility. Bounce back into the ema cloud or break of support are equally possible.
SUMMARY
ES posted a weekly loss of 3.15% after trading in a huge 249 pt range
ES is now below the 2021 high and the 9/21/55 emas
Price has fallen for 6 consecutive sessions.
R2 = 2021 High (5092)
R1 = MTF 236 Fib RT (5052)
S1 = Mar 29th High (4924)
S2 = MTF 382 Fib RT (4885)
Bias is now down to sideways as the upward trendline has been broken.
200 SMA price magnet in play
Strong bounce from 200 sma/ trendline support is possible
Econ data this week includes PMI on Tues, GDP on Thurs & PCE on Friday
Huge week for earnings with Mega caps reporting including MSFT, TSLA, GOOGL & META.
Global event risk is high
Rate sentiment has changed from rate cut to rate hold or raise due to persistance inflation.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.