Here on the weekly chart of the ES I have come up with 2 scenarios that I believe have a high chance of playing out. Both of which involve ES coming down to 2750 area and both of which involve a massive bull run in 2025.
Scenario 1 I have a massive sell off to start the year followed by a range bound market down at the covid lows/ major demand/ channel bottom
Scenario 2 I have a bear fakeout channel break to retest the 4800 for a double top before the real crash followed by a massive bull run for 5000
I believe next week's CPI will determine what will happen
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Here on AAPL is what is likely to happen over the next year and this lines up with Scenario 1 as a dump followed by range near the channel bottom
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Here on MMM we have a likely dump down to channel bottom before a run back up to retest the down trendline
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Here we have on Lowe's the same dump followed by a bottom
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Until 3700 is broken, I am hesitant on taking shorts because price is still bullish short term
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Could ES be forming an inverse head and shoulders for the move back up to 4800 for the double top>
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I am more leaning towards a bearish continuation pattern This is looking to me like a bull trap
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Here on the DOW we have a counter trend rally back up into supply, into the golden pocket between 0.5 and 0.618
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Out of all the Indixes, NQ is the weakest of them all. On the weekly chart, it has been under the 200 weekly sma for awhile with a death cross forming. These are not bullish signals
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.