The dividend yield of the IBEX 35 will reach 5.05% in 2025, according to estimates, doubling the current yield of 12-month Treasury Bills, which stands at 2.53%. This index has exceeded 5% at various points in 2024, marking the widest gap against the EUROSTOXX in a decade. Currently, the Ibex dividend is at 4.5%, and with every 250 point drop in the index, the yield increases by one tenth, reflecting its attractiveness to investors.
Comparison with other European indexes Within the European panorama, the IBEX 35 is the index with the second highest dividend yield, second only to the Italian FTSE Mib. In contrast, other benchmarks such as the FTSE 100 UK show a lower yield of around 4.03%, while indices such as the STOXX 600, EUROSTOXX 50, DAX40 and CAC40 offer between 3.2% and 3.6% for the coming year. The Spanish market is also known for its generous dividend policy, having reached a peak in distribution in 2023, led by key sectors such as banking and telecommunications.
Outlook for 2025 Looking ahead to 2025, the Ibex is expected to maintain this outperformance, supported by dividends from strategic sectors, although corporate earnings growth could slow down. Analysts estimate a moderate increase of 4% in the profits of the companies in the index, which ensures a competitive return with respect to other European and American benchmarks.
Current technical analysis We are witnessing a recovery in the index to the 11634 points zone, with the checkpoint zone being the value of November 5 around 11838 points closest to the highs zone. The RSI shows a 59.05% of overbought which could be representing that the current value has a possible increase in value. If we look at the last delta zone we can see that it is located above 11715 points. The current trend seems to be to evolve upwards, if the results of its companies continue to accompany, because it is one of the most defensive indexes in Europe.
Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
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