After several days of steady upward movement, the crypto currency Ethereum then went significantly downhill yesterday. Previously, the coin had grown 41.8 percent, rising to $ 2,410. With a break in the upward trend line, there was a drop of just under 15 percent to USD 2,050.
Analysis and location determination - viewing in the H4 chart
After the previous downward movement, there was an initial stabilization within the support. Provided that the support level (2,060 / 2,017 USD) is not significantly undercut (excluding pure puncture), a corresponding reaction impulse on the long side can be expected from the statistical point of view.
The reaction potentials are:
With a minimum correction to USD 2,186, the probability of a new movement low is about 67 percent. With a normal correction of up to USD 2,230, the probability of occurrence is only around 50 percent. An increase to $ 2,287 would be a maximum correction. Here the probability of a new low level of movement is only around 37 percent. This makes it very easy to calculate when a corresponding short setup still makes sense.
Focus on support
Should the current attempt to stabilize, however, fail immediately, a trend continuation and decline to the area of 1,750 USD can be expected after a break of 2.018 USD. The previously positive picture would therefore continue to deteriorate. Another and perhaps successful attack on the multiple traded low of around USD 1,700 could even trigger a real panic sale. Course targets for this would then have to be determined anew.
Always good trades! Global Investa
Note:
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