This analysis is based on a massive rising wedge pattern that has been developing over 7 years at this point. It's a long-term trade, so we have to be patient.
The trade is simple; we're going to wait until the top of the next bull-market to enter a short on ETH. When this trade will activated remains to be seen. I'm waiting for ETH to touch the top resistance of the pattern.
Rising wedges are often bearish reversal patterns, so we can ride the wave from ~15k all the way to ~3k potentially. Exact numbers will be clear once we actually arrive there.
Assuming we're going to touch the top resistance, this trade can be double dipped:
- Buy and hold until the top resistance has been hit for 400%-500% gains.
- Short for another 60%-80% gain.