The market fell further as we expected last week. During the economic data window, the market began to price in only one interest rate cut this year. This is not just for crypto market, but for all financial markets. This is likely to last until early July, before bulls come back and bring enthusiasm again. During this period, the PCE released this Friday will bring about a small rebound.
In addition, multiple BTC ETFs have experienced net outflows for several consecutive days, which is also a microcosm of the US market sentiment. After some asset management companies submitted S-1 documents for the ETH ETF, the market expected that the ETH ETF would be officially listed in early July, which would also bring about a small-level rebound.
Regardless, we are on the way to a rate cut, and the long-term trend for all types of financial assets must be upward.
ETH fell less than BTC. This may be related to the upcoming listing of ETF ETH. Yesterday's decline saw significant trading volume, but eventually a pin-bar formed. For ETH, the MBF indicator does not indicate bottom-buying sentiment. There is no obvious blue column representing whales on the TSB indicator. The ME indicator continues to maintain a bullish trend, but the wavy area gradually narrows.
To sum up, we believe that ETH is likely to remain fluctuating this week. We maintain our original resistance level 4000 and support level 2800.
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