Ethereum finally fell into my buy zone this past week and I was able to buy with an average price of $2,185.18. This is a target I've been watching for months in anticipation. The best part is that it may go lower!
How do we trade this? 🤔
ETH has landed on a key support area of $2,100 and is now flirting with falling to the .236 Fib level at $1,800. A final target would be around $1,500 which brings us back into the bear market range. ETH formed a triple top over the course of 2024 and as expected, it pulled back hard with the alt market.
Bitcoin Dominance has been in a bull trend since the last cycle and hasn't shown any signs of weakness yet. Currently at 62%, it could jump up to 70% easily. Until it drops, ETH and the alts are going to remain bleeding out.
I'm targeting the previous all-time high for a first profit target, around $4,800. Whether I take profits at that level depends on the price action leading up to it. If we get a strong push with strong candle closes leading up to that price, I'll likely hang on. Otherwise, I may take 25% of my position off the table and look for a potential re-entry.
Final target price is $6,750, just below the 1.618 Fib level. This level also corresponds with a measured move target if the price attempts $4,000, pulls back to the 3-Year Support, then moves up again. I believe $10,000 ETH is absolutely possible for this run, but given how slumpy the alt market is, I don't see that probability being as high as the previous high of $7,000. This is why I'm taking my profits before that 1.618 Fib level is hit.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $2,185.18
🟥 Stop Loss: $700
✅ Take Profit #1: $4,800
✅ Take Profit #2: $6,750
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. 2024 Triple top led to a retrace down to the 2023 range.
2. First buy at $2,185.18, potential buy at $1,800 and $1,500
3. Stop loss at $700 below the 2022 bear market low
4. Holding the position until the previous all-time high around $4,850 where the first take profit waits. $6,750 is the second take profit just before the 1.618 fib level
5. Weekly RSI is near 34.00 and below the Moving Average. This is a good level to buy.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Ascending Wedges signal an increased probability of a bear breakout. Combined with three pushes up in a bull trend and strong sell bars (candles with large wicks on their tops), creates conditions where a counter-trend trade is reasonable.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
How do we trade this? 🤔
ETH has landed on a key support area of $2,100 and is now flirting with falling to the .236 Fib level at $1,800. A final target would be around $1,500 which brings us back into the bear market range. ETH formed a triple top over the course of 2024 and as expected, it pulled back hard with the alt market.
Bitcoin Dominance has been in a bull trend since the last cycle and hasn't shown any signs of weakness yet. Currently at 62%, it could jump up to 70% easily. Until it drops, ETH and the alts are going to remain bleeding out.
I'm targeting the previous all-time high for a first profit target, around $4,800. Whether I take profits at that level depends on the price action leading up to it. If we get a strong push with strong candle closes leading up to that price, I'll likely hang on. Otherwise, I may take 25% of my position off the table and look for a potential re-entry.
Final target price is $6,750, just below the 1.618 Fib level. This level also corresponds with a measured move target if the price attempts $4,000, pulls back to the 3-Year Support, then moves up again. I believe $10,000 ETH is absolutely possible for this run, but given how slumpy the alt market is, I don't see that probability being as high as the previous high of $7,000. This is why I'm taking my profits before that 1.618 Fib level is hit.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $2,185.18
🟥 Stop Loss: $700
✅ Take Profit #1: $4,800
✅ Take Profit #2: $6,750
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. 2024 Triple top led to a retrace down to the 2023 range.
2. First buy at $2,185.18, potential buy at $1,800 and $1,500
3. Stop loss at $700 below the 2022 bear market low
4. Holding the position until the previous all-time high around $4,850 where the first take profit waits. $6,750 is the second take profit just before the 1.618 fib level
5. Weekly RSI is near 34.00 and below the Moving Average. This is a good level to buy.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Ascending Wedges signal an increased probability of a bear breakout. Combined with three pushes up in a bull trend and strong sell bars (candles with large wicks on their tops), creates conditions where a counter-trend trade is reasonable.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
Trade active
This area around $2,000-$2,100 is very strong support. What we're looking for now is likely a few weeks to a couple of months of consolidation, following a strong bull candle to the upside closing on or near its high.If we go lower toward the $1,500 range, you might catch me adding to this position to bring my average buy down.
-Joe Dean
Trader Engineering Course
**Available Now at TraderEngineering.com**
Trader Engineering Course
**Available Now at TraderEngineering.com**
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
-Joe Dean
Trader Engineering Course
**Available Now at TraderEngineering.com**
Trader Engineering Course
**Available Now at TraderEngineering.com**
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.