Ethereum
Long

Hidden Accumulation in World Liberty Financial Portfolio

While the market is abuzz with hype surrounding Solana, meme coins, DOGE, and BTC, the WLF portfolio appears to be moving against the current trends. As the masses speculate on hot topics, true accumulation is happening quietly within the WLF portfolio. Here are some key points to consider:


Important Disclaimers

  • We don't know the extent of Donald Trump's influence on the WLF portfolio.
  • Other wallets involved in accumulation may exist. Assuming WLF wallets are the only ones at play would be naive.


That said, the accumulated amount of $400 million is already significant, even for the Trumps.

Ethereum Position Highlights

  • $250 million accumulated in Ethereum alone represents substantial power to influence prices.
  • OTC (over-the-counter) deals are likely the method of purchase, which means these transactions don't appear on typical volume histograms.


Key Observations

WLF’s Initial Ethereum Purchases:
  • First buys: Made during a pullback, near the yearly range highs—a strong bullish signal for wallet watchers.
  • No breakout: When no breakout of the maximum range occurred, further accumulation followed within a consolidation range.
  • Accumulation range: Starting around late December and continuing to date.


Chart Legend:
  • The equity curve shows Ethereum’s balance on WLF wallets.
  • Horizontal lines indicate the volume-weighted average price (VWAP).
  • Green triangles illustrate ETH buys by WLF


Institutional Behavior
  • Smart money traders do not scalp or swing trade. Their smallest timeframe is daily. They operate over weeks and months.
  • They don't rely on news; they create it or receive it first-hand.


Speculations on Fund Manager's Mindset
Why buy on a pullback?
- It signals confidence and long-term bullishness.
Why purchase during consolidation?
- Accumulating more for as long as you can.

Broader Ethereum Outlook
  • Negative sentiment? Check.
  • Apparent weakness over the last six months? Check.
  • Depressive ETH/BTC pair performance? Check.


These factors align perfectly with a classic "smart money" accumulation strategy.
In the meanwhile:
  • Nobody seems to be talking about ETF being traded for a few months.
  • TVL of a 'future deadchain' is ridiculously high,
  • Major upgrade (Pectra, DYOR) arriving sooner than expected.


Final Thoughts
What we’re seeing here is a textbook example of smart money behavior: negative sentiment creates opportunities, long-term positioning dominates short-term volatility.

Do your own research.
Everything is priced in.
Everything is on the chart.

Disclaimer