EthereumLong
ETH breakout, short term pullback, long term run
There was more than 6 months of pullback for ETH but there was a clear descending resistance for the last 6 months, every time ETH hit it, it pulled back. We had a double tap and failure to penetrate in October and early November and then 24.Nov we broke through resistance and started to run. This still seems to be early on in the run. We have seen days where ETH outperformed BTC and in fact we are trying to break down the support for BTC Dominance. You can see its clear trend up and how we are testing that support line now. If it breaks down we will likely see ETH run and the stage may be set for a flippening.
I think more likely is that support holds and BTC dominance will start to rise again around this point.
BTC Dominance:
There are many reasons BTC dominance will run but one that is common is that BTC pulls back and the rest of the market pulls back a lot harder. If BTC loses 5% a lot of alts will lose 20% often. Another way BTC dominance runs is if it breaks out and runs for big gains, already having a near a 2T marketcap now, a 5% run would add 100B of market cap for BTC.
BTC tried to break out and it rejected, there is a possiblity that we could trace this all the way back to $68-70k here depending on the speed of descent. Also though, BTC has been strong and bullish, there is very much a chance that we consolidate and build up here and break out, so this line is really significant, its probably the difference on whether BTC dominance runs because of BTC pulling back or running hard.
BTC Chart:
ETH on the other hand, looks like it has broken out of recent multi-month resistance and seems to just be getting started, but this channel it has assumed is already showing us were we should see support and resistance as it continues to run. This looks like its early on in the breakout really but does look likely that we will pull back more here. If you see this price break top of channel, expect another run and if it breaks bottom of channel, be prepared for a noticeable pullback. In the meantime, as long as it is assuming the channel, it is ascending and bullish.
Keep an eye on BTC, we know if its not happy, generally the whole market suffers. Its hard to find profits on other assets while BTC is dumping so even if you are not trading BTC, you should be watching it.
I think more likely is that support holds and BTC dominance will start to rise again around this point.
BTC Dominance:
There are many reasons BTC dominance will run but one that is common is that BTC pulls back and the rest of the market pulls back a lot harder. If BTC loses 5% a lot of alts will lose 20% often. Another way BTC dominance runs is if it breaks out and runs for big gains, already having a near a 2T marketcap now, a 5% run would add 100B of market cap for BTC.
BTC tried to break out and it rejected, there is a possiblity that we could trace this all the way back to $68-70k here depending on the speed of descent. Also though, BTC has been strong and bullish, there is very much a chance that we consolidate and build up here and break out, so this line is really significant, its probably the difference on whether BTC dominance runs because of BTC pulling back or running hard.
BTC Chart:
ETH on the other hand, looks like it has broken out of recent multi-month resistance and seems to just be getting started, but this channel it has assumed is already showing us were we should see support and resistance as it continues to run. This looks like its early on in the breakout really but does look likely that we will pull back more here. If you see this price break top of channel, expect another run and if it breaks bottom of channel, be prepared for a noticeable pullback. In the meantime, as long as it is assuming the channel, it is ascending and bullish.
Keep an eye on BTC, we know if its not happy, generally the whole market suffers. Its hard to find profits on other assets while BTC is dumping so even if you are not trading BTC, you should be watching it.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.