Eth looks like a short
Price has moved up for the last couple of days and with what I see I have put a short on and will be planning to take profit on this descending triangle structure. The main chart goes over a lot but lets expound
At the left of the chart the Keltner Channel bottom acted primarily as support and price often went above the the Keltner channel and moved the bollinger band upward for months. There was topping behavior in May and we now have what I see is a clear descending triangle. The price action was closing whole candles below the Keltner. On the run up there are candle with bodies below the candle, but they had some structure in the Keltner. Whole candles below the Keltner signals a lot of selling pressure.
Price action has dropped from the resistance of the triangle to the support when there where bearish K-D crosses. The middle red circle did require a double cross as the topping behavior went on a bit longer. This last and current black circle and red arrow may also require a double K-D cross. As I assess this, it is a high probability short due to the overall structure and time it has to develop as well at being at the Keltner when it has begun to act as resistance.
On a lower time frame at the blue arrow I see lots of signs that ETH was topping here. Lots of wicks to the up and downside and the bodies getting very tight and then a clear red candle with no upside wick.
The standard 4 hour candles show we had a symmetrical triangle structure that broke down after a MACD cross. This can still chop side ways or even up a little but there is a lot of bearish divergence on the 4 hour chart with the RSI. Between the daily descending triangle and that 4 hour MACD cross I see a high probability that we go down shortly. Stocks can get relatively tight.
At the left of the chart the Keltner Channel bottom acted primarily as support and price often went above the the Keltner channel and moved the bollinger band upward for months. There was topping behavior in May and we now have what I see is a clear descending triangle. The price action was closing whole candles below the Keltner. On the run up there are candle with bodies below the candle, but they had some structure in the Keltner. Whole candles below the Keltner signals a lot of selling pressure.
Price action has dropped from the resistance of the triangle to the support when there where bearish K-D crosses. The middle red circle did require a double cross as the topping behavior went on a bit longer. This last and current black circle and red arrow may also require a double K-D cross. As I assess this, it is a high probability short due to the overall structure and time it has to develop as well at being at the Keltner when it has begun to act as resistance.
On a lower time frame at the blue arrow I see lots of signs that ETH was topping here. Lots of wicks to the up and downside and the bodies getting very tight and then a clear red candle with no upside wick.
The standard 4 hour candles show we had a symmetrical triangle structure that broke down after a MACD cross. This can still chop side ways or even up a little but there is a lot of bearish divergence on the 4 hour chart with the RSI. Between the daily descending triangle and that 4 hour MACD cross I see a high probability that we go down shortly. Stocks can get relatively tight.
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