i see a lot of euphoria on twitter so i a have locked into a bearish bias
Trade Idea: I'm seeing a potential short opportunity on ETH/USDT, backed by the following factors:
Market Structure Shift (MSS): Observed on the 30-minute chart, indicating a bearish shift after the recent bullish momentum. Breakdown of Support: Key support level at $2,580 (Fair Value Gap) is critical. A confirmed breakdown below this level could trigger further downside.
Order Blocks and Liquidity Zones: There is a bullish OB around $2,550 and a deeper liquidity zone between $2,500 - $2,480, which will act as potential take-profit areas.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): ETH is consolidating near a key resistance zone, with an FVG below current price, providing a short-term retracement target.
Trade Setup: Short Entry: Enter short after price breaks below $2,580 with confirmation (preferably around $2,575).
Stop Loss: Set at $2,620, just above the recent consolidation high.
Take-Profit 1 (TP1): $2,550 — targeting the OB support zone.
Take-Profit 2 (TP2): $2,500 - $2,480 — aiming for the deeper liquidity and imbalance zone. Risk-Reward:
TP1 offers a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:0.55. TP2 gives a stronger risk-reward at 1:1.7, making this a more attractive target for a larger move down.
With the MSS on the 30-minute chart, and consolidation on the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes, this short setup is primed for a potential pullback. Watch for confirmation before entering!
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