Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Analysis
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Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on ETH/USDT, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
💡 Previous Analysis Review:
We expected the price to have a retracement higher before expanding lower, similar to Bitcoin. However, Ethereum showed more bearishness and expanded lower without the expected retracement.
📍 Current Market Overview:
The current price is around 2,916.80. ETH has swept the previous week low (PWL) and taken out some sell-side liquidity (SSL). It has also tapped into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the 4-hour timeframe.
🔍 Identifying Key Levels:
• PMH: Previous Month High
• PWL: Previous Week Low
• PWH: Previous Week High
• PML: Previous Month Low
• BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity
• SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
• 4H FVG: 4-Hour Fair Value Gap, highlighting areas of imbalance on the 4-hour timeframe
📊 Key Considerations:
• Swept Previous Week Low: ETH has swept the previous week low (PWL) and taken out low resistance sell-side liquidity on lower time frames.
• Support Levels: The price has tapped into a 4-Hour FVG and has shown a reaction, indicating potential support.
• SMT at the Lows: There is SMT (Smart Money Technique) at the lows with BTC, which is a bullish indication. BTC formed higher lows while ETH formed lower lows.
• Reaction to FVGs: We need to observe the reaction from the two FVGs close to the current price for further confirmation of the next move.
• Inverse Confluence: If we inverse the chart, it provides another confluence to the bullish scenario.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Given the current price action and key considerations, a bullish scenario is possible if the following conditions are met:
• Retracement Higher: We can expect the price to have a retracement higher from the current support levels. This move could target some key resistance levels or lower time frame low resistance levels, similar to the analysis we performed for BTC/USDT.
• Key Levels to Target: The price could aim for the 4-Hour FVG above and possibly sweep minor buy-side liquidity before deciding on the next move.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
A bearish scenario should be considered if the following conditions are met:
• Failure to Hold Support: If the price fails to hold the current support levels provided by the 4-Hour FVG, we might see a continuation lower.
• Clearing Buy-Side Liquidity: For any bearish scenario, we need to see some buy-side liquidity being taken out first before considering lower targets.
📊 Chart Analysis Summary:
• Bullish Expectation: The expectation is for the price to potentially retrace higher from the current levels, targeting the 4-Hour FVG above or some lower time frame low resistance levels. The SMT at the lows with BTC adds to this bullish outlook.
• Bearish Expectation: For a bearish scenario, we need to see a failure to hold the current support levels and potentially clear some buy-side liquidity before considering lower targets.
💡 Conclusion:
The ETH/USDT chart is showing a similar pattern to the BTC/USDT chart analyzed previously. We can expect a potential retracement higher from the current support levels, with key levels to watch for further moves. The SMT at the lows with BTC provides a bullish indication. As always, keeping an eye on how the price interacts with these levels will be crucial in determining the next steps.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
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⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.