Market Analysis: We have observed a strong impulse move in EUR/AUD, followed by a corrective phase. This correction appears to be offering a compelling opportunity for a long trade.
Fibonacci Retracement: Our analysis indicates that price is currently approaching the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent impulse move. This level often serves as a key support/resistance area and aligns with our trade setup.
Fair Value Gap: Furthermore, our analysis suggests that the price is likely to fall into what we identify as a "Fair Value Gap." This is a zone where we anticipate price to gravitate toward due to fundamental and technical factors.
Trade Rationale:
Trading Against Retail Traders: Retail traders often exhibit herd behavior, buying into rising trends and selling during declines. Our contrarian approach involves trading against this retail sentiment. By doing so, we aim to capitalize on potential overreactions and market inefficiencies driven by retail traders' emotional responses.
Waiting for Liquidity to Be Taken: To enhance our trade execution, we will wait for liquidity to be taken. This means we will look for price to reach key support levels or technical zones where there is a notable presence of buy orders. This approach minimizes slippage and increases the likelihood of a favorable entry.
Trade Plan:
Entry: We will closely monitor price action as it approaches the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and the Fair Value Gap. Our entry will be contingent on a bullish reversal pattern or confirmation signals.
Stop Loss: We will place our stop loss slightly below the identified support level to manage risk effectively.
Take Profit: Our take profit level will be set at a reasonable distance from the entry point, aiming for a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Risk Management: We will allocate a fixed percentage of our trading capital to this trade, ensuring that our risk is well-defined and manageable.
Conclusion:
This trade on EUR/AUD represents an opportunity to capitalize on the current market conditions and potential retail trader sentiment. However, trading carries inherent risks, and we strongly emphasize the importance of strict risk management and continuous monitoring of the trade.
Please remember that this analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Happy trading!
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