Today Scenarios and Impact on EUR/AUD. Department Responsible: HCOB/S&P Global compiles and releases Eurozone PMI data Bullish EUR/AUD (Rally) Triggers: German Services PMI exceeds 52.3, Eurozone Services PMI beats 51.2. German Manufacturing PMI surpasses 47.1, signaling faster recovery. Technical Impact: A break above supply roof ,buy reinforced Bearish EUR/AUD (Decline) Triggers: French/German PMIs miss forecasts, especially Services. Eurozone Manufacturing PMI falls below 48.3. Technical Impact: A drop below support signal selling. Neutral (Consolidation) Triggers: Mixed PMIs with no clear surprises. Technical Impact: Range-bound between supply roof and demand floor Trade Directional Bias Moderate Bullish Bias: Rationale: Strong German/Eurozone Services PMIs (expansionary) likely outweigh Manufacturing weakness, supporting EUR. Risks: A miss in German Services PMI or broader Eurozone data could trigger profit Conclusion Today’s PMIs, particularly German Services and Eurozone Services, will drive EUR/AUD’s short-term bias. A beat in Services data reinforces the EUR’s strength, while Manufacturing misses could cap gains. AM bullsih on EURAUD...long euraud
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