EURAUD - Is A Reversal On The Horizon?
Updated
Analysis:
Looking at the chart we're able to see that price recently seemed pretty bullish and due to the news that came out for the USD last week it's had an affect on the AUD and we've since seem some AUD weakness, however we see a potential reversal happening soon. At this of area resistance we marked out we've seen that price has tagged this area before and then made a strong move to the downside so we expect that this will happen again. We also have a bearish chart pattern, a rising wedge pattern. Usually when we see this pattern forming we see sudden weakness and price drops to the downside so this favours our bearish reversal thesis. Fundamentally the EUR is the 2nd strongest major currency, whereas the AUD is the 2nd weakest major currency so this doesn't favour our idea, but this isn't the full picture either. If we look a little further we can see that as of the most recent report on institutional positioning we saw a decrease in long positions on the EUR, signalling more bearishness could be on the horizon. Which favours our idea. We also have a speculation that the EUR will lose its strength that it once had as other currencies become stronger and we're starting to see this happen already. This is why fundamentally we like the look of the AUD over the EUR for now. With the technicals and fundamentals together we are bearish on EURAUD. This is a risky setup as it's going against the trend, however with trading you have to take risk because that is what trading is. The difference is having your risk under control, rather then gambling!
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you!
Stay Safe - The JPI Team
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Looking at the chart we're able to see that price recently seemed pretty bullish and due to the news that came out for the USD last week it's had an affect on the AUD and we've since seem some AUD weakness, however we see a potential reversal happening soon. At this of area resistance we marked out we've seen that price has tagged this area before and then made a strong move to the downside so we expect that this will happen again. We also have a bearish chart pattern, a rising wedge pattern. Usually when we see this pattern forming we see sudden weakness and price drops to the downside so this favours our bearish reversal thesis. Fundamentally the EUR is the 2nd strongest major currency, whereas the AUD is the 2nd weakest major currency so this doesn't favour our idea, but this isn't the full picture either. If we look a little further we can see that as of the most recent report on institutional positioning we saw a decrease in long positions on the EUR, signalling more bearishness could be on the horizon. Which favours our idea. We also have a speculation that the EUR will lose its strength that it once had as other currencies become stronger and we're starting to see this happen already. This is why fundamentally we like the look of the AUD over the EUR for now. With the technicals and fundamentals together we are bearish on EURAUD. This is a risky setup as it's going against the trend, however with trading you have to take risk because that is what trading is. The difference is having your risk under control, rather then gambling!
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you!
Stay Safe - The JPI Team
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Trade active
Our entry requirements have now been met and our order has been filled. We are short EURAUD, looking for a reversal to take place as the AUD gains strength!
Disclaimer
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