A few reasons:

1. Short-term double bottom.
2. This pair hasn't reached this price level since 2015.
3. I think major longs are waiting at about 1.22 but I also think it will do a bit of bouncing first before ultimately trading down to that level.
4. Because I don't think anyone else wants to based on the ideas page.

Notes:

1. Just my humble opinion only. I know as much (or as little) as anybody else.
2. Trade with money you can only afford to lose.
3. Risk management is absolutely everything when trading forex.
Beyond Technical Analysis

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