The EURCAD pair has been rising since the September 28 bottom on the bullish leg of the 9-month Channel Down, turning both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Supports. The uptrend hit the Internal Lower Highs trend-line last week, got rejected but was supported on the 1D MA200 and is testing it yet again today.
As the 1D RSI is making a Double Top rejection under the 2023 Resistance Zone, we may have the first medium-term sell signal emerging and a 1D MACD Bearish Cross will confirm it. In that case, sell and target the 1D MA50 at 1.4500. Those who wish to take some more risk, can extend selling to 1.4400 (-2.43% decline, in line with past pull-backs).
If however the pair closes a 1D candle above Resistance 1, we will take the loss on the sell position and open a buy instead, targeting Resistance 2 at 1.51000.
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