What do you think of the fluctuation after the upward trend I marked?
Is that confusing?
The situation now is a little bit tricky. I do not observe a clear trend for the long term. So I would like to see a short term trend.
Let’s just focus on the recent upward movement first.
The price goes up and fluctuates at this level for a while, so I mark the upward movement with the Fibonacci Retracement.
Then, The latest price already breakout from the Bollinger Bands. As can be seen, the Bollinger Bands form a trumpet-shaped form, which means the price would be more volatile. Although the price always backs out to the middle of the Bollinger Bands, I still consider the sale pressure is stronger. Then when would be the point for changing the direction of the trend? I expect the price retrace to the 0.618 level, which means the price would continue to go down for a while.
In conclusion, I would expect the price to go down to the 0.618 fib level, which is 0.90180. Then go back to meet the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, which might be at 0.90532.
Is that confusing?
The situation now is a little bit tricky. I do not observe a clear trend for the long term. So I would like to see a short term trend.
Let’s just focus on the recent upward movement first.
The price goes up and fluctuates at this level for a while, so I mark the upward movement with the Fibonacci Retracement.
Then, The latest price already breakout from the Bollinger Bands. As can be seen, the Bollinger Bands form a trumpet-shaped form, which means the price would be more volatile. Although the price always backs out to the middle of the Bollinger Bands, I still consider the sale pressure is stronger. Then when would be the point for changing the direction of the trend? I expect the price retrace to the 0.618 level, which means the price would continue to go down for a while.
In conclusion, I would expect the price to go down to the 0.618 fib level, which is 0.90180. Then go back to meet the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, which might be at 0.90532.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.