The Shoulder-Head-Shoulder pattern seems activated if we see a clear candle close below the neckline. This will result in the scenario of an A-B-C correction that might unfold in the shape of a harmonic BAT pattern. If we use classical technical analysis patterns like the Shoulder-Head-Shoulder pattern, we should be looking for the length of the 'head-neckline' to project our target of the Shoulder-Head-Shoulder pattern. Price should in that case reach the 1.057 zone which would also be the D point of the harmonic BAT. I personally don't trade harmonic patterns but use them as an indication, that said BAT patterns are my favorite 'indications' due to the incredible Risk/Reward potential when they occur at significant lows/highs which in this case might very well happen.
The safest short entry with great Risk/Reward would be to wait for a pullback and retest of the neckline and enter short after a lower time frame trade signal like hidden bearish divergence. However the risk is to miss this short all together. But this depends on your trading style.
After this expected wave B lower I still favor an impulsive rally for the Euro.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.