Idea for next week

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We’re set to receive the latest round of global Purchasing Managers’ Indices on Monday, and it’s the European data that will likely be in the spotlight, putting the EUR/USD forecast in spotlight. The question is whether Trump’s trade war is already starting to dent business activity worldwide. In the Eurozone, manufacturing PMIs have been inching higher, but they still languish below the crucial 50.0 mark that separates contraction from growth. The recent upsurge in key indices such as the DAX suggests investors are starting to price in a more optimistic scenario, with hopes that Germany’s hefty fiscal stimulus will soon filter through to the broader economy. Any positive readings could help fuel a rally towards the 1.10 handle, while weaker data may not play a significant role.

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