🔥 EUR/USD TRADE PLAN
📅 Date: 15 April 2025
🔖 Plan Type:
Dual-Sided Swing Plan
Buy Setup: Bullish Continuation from Demand
Sell Setup: Counter-Trend Reversal from Supply
📈 Bias:
🔵 Primary Bias: Bullish (HTF trend continuation)
🔴 Secondary Bias: Bearish (short-term exhaustion + liquidity grab)
🧠 Structure Observations:
Price has reacted off weekly supply near 1.1420+
Bearish engulfing confirmed on H4
Still bullish on HTF, unless 1.1180 breaks clean
Demand remains valid at prior breakout and imbalance zones
Volume support at breakout base (H4 OB region)
🟢 BUY PLAN – BULLISH CONTINUATION
🔰 Confidence Levels:
🟢 Buy Plan – Bullish Continuation
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
✅ Reasons:
HTF uptrend still intact
Price respecting major demand zone structure
Clean reaction zones + recent bullish reaction wicks
📍 Entry Zones:
🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 1.1180 – 1.1200
(FVG + H4 OB + H1 reaction point + 50 EMA region)
🔁 Entry trigger: M15–H1 bullish engulfing or sweep-reclaim pattern
🟨 Secondary Buy Zone: 1.1110 – 1.1135
(Deep demand + macro OB + previous resistance turned support)
🔁 Entry only after liquidity sweep and reclaim on H1
❗ Stop Loss:
Below 1.1090
→ Clears all demand layers and invalidates bullish bias
🎯 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 1.1285 → Reaction point & H1 imbalance top
🎯 TP2: 1.1340 → Prior highs before supply zone
🎯 TP3: 1.1395 → Supply edge retest / liquidity magnet
🔴 SELL PLAN – REVERSAL FROM SUPPLY
🔴 Sell Plan – Counter-Trend Reversal
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐ (70%)
⚠️ Reasons:
Near-term overextension visible from 1.14+ zone
Weekly supply unmitigated; wicks show rejection
Lower timeframes indicate momentum loss
But trend is still bullish overall (so more caution)
📍 Entry Zones:
🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 1.1340 – 1.1385
(Weekly supply + wick fill + unmitigated imbalance)
🔁 Confirmation: M15–H1 bearish divergence, exhaustion wick, or engulfing
🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 1.1285 – 1.1310
(Short-term supply pocket + FVG gap)
🔁 Needs aggressive confirmation — avoid early entry
❗ Stop Loss:
Above 1.1405
→ Invalidates supply and structure, breakout confirmed
🎯 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 1.1230 → Intra-demand + mid FVG
🎯 TP2: 1.1180 → Bullish entry zone
🎯 TP3: 1.1135 → Final target at deep support zone
📏 Risk–Reward Projection:
Buy Plan: Approx. 1:3.2 R:R
Sell Plan: Approx. 1:2.8 to 1:3.5 depending on execution
🔁 Validity:
48 hours from plan release or upon break of SL levels on either side
🌐 Fundamentals to Watch:
Upcoming Eurozone ZEW data + US retail sales
Fed rate sentiment remains dovish near-term
Watch bond yield volatility this week
📋 Final Summary:
EUR/USD is in a broader bullish structure but has now faced significant overhead supply. Short-term bearish pressure is visible, but structure remains intact unless 1.1090 is breached. Dual-plan allows traders to operate both edges with proper confirmation.
📅 Date: 15 April 2025
🔖 Plan Type:
Dual-Sided Swing Plan
Buy Setup: Bullish Continuation from Demand
Sell Setup: Counter-Trend Reversal from Supply
📈 Bias:
🔵 Primary Bias: Bullish (HTF trend continuation)
🔴 Secondary Bias: Bearish (short-term exhaustion + liquidity grab)
🧠 Structure Observations:
Price has reacted off weekly supply near 1.1420+
Bearish engulfing confirmed on H4
Still bullish on HTF, unless 1.1180 breaks clean
Demand remains valid at prior breakout and imbalance zones
Volume support at breakout base (H4 OB region)
🟢 BUY PLAN – BULLISH CONTINUATION
🔰 Confidence Levels:
🟢 Buy Plan – Bullish Continuation
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
✅ Reasons:
HTF uptrend still intact
Price respecting major demand zone structure
Clean reaction zones + recent bullish reaction wicks
📍 Entry Zones:
🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 1.1180 – 1.1200
(FVG + H4 OB + H1 reaction point + 50 EMA region)
🔁 Entry trigger: M15–H1 bullish engulfing or sweep-reclaim pattern
🟨 Secondary Buy Zone: 1.1110 – 1.1135
(Deep demand + macro OB + previous resistance turned support)
🔁 Entry only after liquidity sweep and reclaim on H1
❗ Stop Loss:
Below 1.1090
→ Clears all demand layers and invalidates bullish bias
🎯 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 1.1285 → Reaction point & H1 imbalance top
🎯 TP2: 1.1340 → Prior highs before supply zone
🎯 TP3: 1.1395 → Supply edge retest / liquidity magnet
🔴 SELL PLAN – REVERSAL FROM SUPPLY
🔴 Sell Plan – Counter-Trend Reversal
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐ (70%)
⚠️ Reasons:
Near-term overextension visible from 1.14+ zone
Weekly supply unmitigated; wicks show rejection
Lower timeframes indicate momentum loss
But trend is still bullish overall (so more caution)
📍 Entry Zones:
🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 1.1340 – 1.1385
(Weekly supply + wick fill + unmitigated imbalance)
🔁 Confirmation: M15–H1 bearish divergence, exhaustion wick, or engulfing
🟥 Secondary Sell Zone: 1.1285 – 1.1310
(Short-term supply pocket + FVG gap)
🔁 Needs aggressive confirmation — avoid early entry
❗ Stop Loss:
Above 1.1405
→ Invalidates supply and structure, breakout confirmed
🎯 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 1.1230 → Intra-demand + mid FVG
🎯 TP2: 1.1180 → Bullish entry zone
🎯 TP3: 1.1135 → Final target at deep support zone
📏 Risk–Reward Projection:
Buy Plan: Approx. 1:3.2 R:R
Sell Plan: Approx. 1:2.8 to 1:3.5 depending on execution
🔁 Validity:
48 hours from plan release or upon break of SL levels on either side
🌐 Fundamentals to Watch:
Upcoming Eurozone ZEW data + US retail sales
Fed rate sentiment remains dovish near-term
Watch bond yield volatility this week
📋 Final Summary:
EUR/USD is in a broader bullish structure but has now faced significant overhead supply. Short-term bearish pressure is visible, but structure remains intact unless 1.1090 is breached. Dual-plan allows traders to operate both edges with proper confirmation.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.