EUR/USD Lower-High - Of Interest for USD-Strength

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As looked at in the last post the US Dollar is currently working on a doji for the month of May and the weakness that was widespread through March and the first three weeks of April has dissipated over the past month and change. USD/JPY has been a big part of that, following the pair's 140.00 test last month which has so far held at a higher-low. But - if looking for USD-strength, EUR/USD may make for a more compelling backdrop.

The pair has so far held a lower-high at the 1.1400 handle following last month's failed run at 1.1500. Notably, this also coincides with a bearish trendline, drawn from 2021 highs which came back into play last month to hold resistance for three consecutive weeks.

The lower high showing now further reinforces the view that a local top may be in-place on the pair.

If looking to work with USD-strength on the basis of a turn, EUR/USD looks like one of the more compelling major FX pairs, whereas markets like GBP/USD and USD/CAD seem situated more attractively for USD-weakness scenarios. - js

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