EUR/USD long term
Updated
The situation on the Eurodollar market has not changed significantly, despite the recent volatility. All the time stuck in extended trading sideways around the level of 1.12, which is around 61.8% fibo increases the level of 0.8231 - 1.6038. However, there is thing I would especially like to draw attention. Looking at the graph interval of one month, we note that Eurodollar located in a triangle formation. With this in mind, and that this formation was preceded by strong declines, it seems that it should come to the bottom of issue. However, the upper limit is in the vicinity of 1,14-1,15, which is not deleted completely on the demand side. In addition, we can conclude that the last three months were characterized by the smallest range of fluctuation in the history of this currency pair. which may suggest that we are in the last phase. Breaking bottom may be preceded by increases in the level around 1.1427. Then breaking through the lower supply constraints, will open the way towards 1,0730-1,08. (Trend line growth led to the level of 0.8231).
The above outline of the situation as regards the very long term. However, it has now consider what draws a Eurodollar future, in the context of the next months. This technical arrangement would be in line with the fundamental situation, which implies a further weakening of the euro against the dollar. (Further increases in US interest rates and a possible expansion of the program QE by the ECB).
The above outline of the situation as regards the very long term. However, it has now consider what draws a Eurodollar future, in the context of the next months. This technical arrangement would be in line with the fundamental situation, which implies a further weakening of the euro against the dollar. (Further increases in US interest rates and a possible expansion of the program QE by the ECB).
Note
This week has been to overcome the lower limit, which paves the way towards this year's lows.
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