Currently, EUR/USD continues its sharp decline, opening the 2025 trading season by hitting 1.0250—its lowest level since November 2022, marking a 26-month low.
According to assessments, the European Central Bank (ECB) is on track for steady rate cuts through 2025. ECB’s Stournaras suggests that the rate could land somewhere around 2% by the end of this year.
Meanwhile, with the Federal Reserve (Fed) expected to cut interest rates at a much slower pace than previously anticipated in 2025, the Euro’s interest rate differential is likely to widen significantly. This divergence is expected to maintain downward pressure on EUR/USD in the long term.